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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Cottingham weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 12° in Cottingham today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 12°, with a 100% chance of rain.

12°8°
12°9°
11°9°
12°8°
11°8°
10°6°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agreeSaturdaymodels agreeSundaysplit ±2°
Met OfficeUKMO model
10°
Heavy drizzle
Feels 8° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 95%
EuropeanECMWF
9°
Light drizzle
Feels 7° · Wind 8 mph · Humidity 95%
AmericanNOAA GFS
10°
Partly cloudy
Feels 8° · Wind 8 mph · Humidity 84%

Latest for Cottingham: Met Office (UKMO model): 10° Heavy drizzle · European (ECMWF): 9° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 10° Partly cloudy.

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Cottingham weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for Yorkshire & Humber

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for Yorkshire & Humber…

Cottingham weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Cottingham swings 19°C across the year, from 21°C highs in August to 2°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 676 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
21°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
October
676 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
17,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Cottingham and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Cottingham hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Cottingham 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
12° 8°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
12° 9°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
11° 9°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
12° 8°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
11° 8°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
10° 6°
±2°
Mon
Cloudy
11° 5°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
11° 7°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
10° 7°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
9° 7°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
9° 8°
±3°
Sat
Cloudy
10° 7°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
11° 8°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
11° 7°
models agree

Cottingham, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 21°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 676 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Cottingham right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Cottingham climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
8°
2°
Feb
8°
2°
Mar
9°
3°
Apr
12°
5°
May
14°
7°
Jun
18°
10°
Jul
20°
12°
Aug
21°
13°
Sep
18°
10°
Oct
14°
7°
Nov
10°
4°
Dec
7°
3°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Cottingham has changed since 1995

Cottingham sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Beverley. That square ran 0.4°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Beverley page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Cottingham?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
97±0.2°C97±0.9 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
90
/100rank #2
94±0.3°C96±1.2 mph8290% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
90
/100rank #3
91±0.5°C91±2.7 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°11° to 12°±27%6% to 33% chance
Tomorrow±1°12° to 13°±53%47% to 100% chance
Thu±1°11° to 12°±23%0% to 23% chance
Fri±1°11° to 12°±10%0% to 10% chance
Satmodels agree11° to 11°±26%0% to 26% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Cottingham

today, local time
Sunrise
07:05
Sunset
16:24
Daylight
9h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Cottingham today?
Tuesday 3 November: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 12° in Cottingham today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 12°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Cottingham today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Cottingham on Wednesday 4 November: Met Office 100%, European 57%, American 47%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Tuesday 3 November the highest chance of rain from any model is 33%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Cottingham?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Cottingham (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the Met Office at 90. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Cottingham?
August is typically the warmest month in Cottingham, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Cottingham get?
The coldest month in Cottingham is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Cottingham get?
Cottingham sees roughly 676 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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