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CheckWeather UKBrough
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Brough weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model put Brough's high today between 22° and 25°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 20°, with a 21% chance of rain.

23°12°
20°16°
18°12°
18°11°
18°11°
21°13°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±3°
Met OfficeUKMO model
24°
Drizzle
Today 24°·Low 12°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Light drizzle
Today 22°·Low 11°·Rain 76%
AmericanNOAA GFS
25°
Light drizzle
Today 25°·Low 13°·Rain 26%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Brough and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
23° 12°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
20° 16°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
18° 12°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
18° 11°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
18° 11°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 13°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
20° 10°
±5°
Sun
Heavy drizzle
22° 15°
±2°
Mon
Light drizzle
22° 13°
±6°
Tue
Light rain
20° 14°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
19° 11°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
20° 10°
±8°
Fri
Partly cloudy
17° 10°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
18°
±5°

Brough is a small town of about 20,000 people in England, sitting at 53.7°N in a temperate climate zone. Met Office, European, American each forecast Brough with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include North Ferriby, Barton upon Humber, Scalby.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Brough?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C99±0.4 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
88
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C95±1.6 mph8290% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
85
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C94±2.0 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°22° to 25°±50%26% to 76% chance
Tomorrow±1°20° to 21°±11%10% to 21% chance
Tue±2°17° to 19°±9%45% to 54% chance
Wed±2°17° to 19°±1%7% to 8% chance
Thu±3°17° to 20°±9%13% to 22% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Brough

today, local time
Sunrise
06:20
Sunset
19:41
Daylight
13h 21m

Common questions

What's the weather in Brough today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Brough today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Brough today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Brough and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Brough?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Brough (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the Met Office at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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