Derby weather
Loading live data…Light rain,rain likely tomorrow
Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 14° in Derby today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 11°, with a 78% chance of rain.
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.Derby weather warnings
Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for East MidlandsChecking the Met Office for warnings in force for East Midlands…
Derby weather in numbers
measured normals and 10 years of recorded weatherDerby swings 19°C across the year, from 20°C highs in July to 1°C lows in February, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 739 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 12 days a year at 25°C or above, 1 of them at 30°C or above, 31 frost nights, and rain on 147 days.
Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Derby’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.
The weather map: all three models at once
Met Office, European, American side by side around Derby and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Derby hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three modelsRain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by sideLoading the three models…
Derby 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they splitDerby, England. Below we compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Derby right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Derby's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.
Derby weather by month
what to expect in Derby through the year, 1991-2020 averagesHere is Derby's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Derby by season.
What Derby's weather is like through the year
Derby runs from warm summers, with July highs near 20°C, to cold winters, when February lows sit around 1°C (a swing of about 19°C across the year). October is usually the wettest month, and Derby sees roughly 739 mm of precipitation annually.
Best time to visit Derby
The most comfortable time to visit Derby is usually June, July, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.
How the weather around Derby has changed since 1995
Derby sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Nottingham. That square ran 0.5°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Nottingham page.
Which forecast is most accurate in Derby?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Derby, scoring 89/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the Met Office at 74. See the full UK accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.
What do you think of the forecasts?
your vote countsThe accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separatelyThe models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.