Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow
Met Office, the European and the American model put Nottingham's high today between 22° and 25°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 20°, with a 18% chance of rain.
Nottingham, England. Below we compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Nottingham right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Nottingham's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.
Here is Nottingham's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Nottingham by season.
Nottingham runs from warm summers, with August highs near 21°C, to cold winters, when January lows sit around 2°C (a swing of about 19°C across the year). October is usually the wettest month, and Nottingham sees roughly 925 mm of precipitation annually.
The most comfortable time to visit Nottingham is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Nottingham, scoring 93/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the Met Office at 83. See the full UK accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.