Nottingham (Notts) weather
Loading live data…Light rain,rain likely tomorrow
Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 14° in Nottingham today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 11°, with a 71% chance of rain.
Latest for Nottingham: Met Office (UKMO model): 10° Light rain · European (ECMWF): 10° Light rain · American (NOAA GFS): 10° Light rain.
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.Nottingham weather warnings
Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for East MidlandsChecking the Met Office for warnings in force for East Midlands…
Nottingham weather in numbers
measured normals and 10 years of recorded weatherNottingham swings 20°C across the year, from 21°C highs in August to 1°C lows in February, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 664 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 14 days a year at 25°C or above, 1 of them at 30°C or above, 30 frost nights, and rain on 144 days.
Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Nottingham’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.
The weather map: all three models at once
Met Office, European, American side by side around Nottingham and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Nottingham hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three modelsRain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by sideLoading the three models…
Nottingham 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they splitNottingham, England. Often shortened to Notts. Below we compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Nottingham right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Nottingham's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.
Nottingham weather by month
what to expect in Nottingham through the year, 1991-2020 averagesHere is Nottingham's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Nottingham by season.
What Nottingham's weather is like through the year
Nottingham runs from warm summers, with August highs near 21°C, to cold winters, when February lows sit around 1°C (a swing of about 20°C across the year). October is usually the wettest month, and Nottingham sees roughly 664 mm of precipitation annually.
Best time to visit Nottingham
The most comfortable time to visit Nottingham is usually June, July, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.
How Nottingham's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as changeAround Nottingham, 2015-2024 averaged 0.5°C warmer than 1995-2004. 4 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2022.
Days above 25°C
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Frost nights
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
| Year | Temp vs average | Days >25°C vs avg | Frost nights vs avg | Wind vs avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1995 | −0.3°C | +11 | +16 | +3% |
| 1996 | −1.4°C | −2 | +37 | −1% |
| 1997 | ±0.0°C | +4 | +2 | −3% |
| 1998 | −0.2°C | −5 | −6 | +7% |
| 1999 | +0.2°C | −2 | −13 | +3% |
| 2000 | −0.2°C | −4 | −2 | +3% |
| 2001 | −0.6°C | −0 | +30 | −5% |
| 2002 | +0.1°C | −4 | −16 | +1% |
| 2003 | ±0.0°C | +2 | +7 | −7% |
| 2004 | +0.1°C | −3 | −6 | −1% |
| 2005 | +0.2°C | +2 | +5 | +1% |
| 2006 | +0.5°C | +11 | +8 | −1% |
| 2007 | +0.2°C | −5 | −15 | +1% |
| 2008 | −0.3°C | −3 | +5 | +7% |
| 2009 | −0.3°C | −3 | +6 | −3% |
| 2010 | −1.5°C | −6 | +43 | −11% |
| 2011 | +0.3°C | −2 | −12 | +1% |
| 2012 | −0.7°C | −5 | −2 | −1% |
| 2013 | −0.9°C | −0 | +32 | +1% |
| 2014 | +0.5°C | −4 | −27 | +1% |
| 2015 | −0.1°C | −3 | −6 | +7% |
| 2016 | −0.2°C | −0 | −0 | −5% |
| 2017 | +0.2°C | −2 | −10 | +1% |
| 2018 | +0.2°C | +2 | −2 | −3% |
| 2019 | +0.1°C | +2 | −5 | −3% |
| 2020 | +0.3°C | +4 | −22 | +7% |
| 2021 | ±0.0°C | +3 | +9 | −7% |
| 2022 | +0.9°C | +8 | −15 | −3% |
| 2023 | +0.8°C | +6 | −7 | +1% |
| 2024 | +0.7°C | −0 | −24 | −1% |
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Nottingham, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Nottingham?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Nottingham, scoring 95/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the Met Office at 79. See the full UK accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.
What do you think of the forecasts?
your vote countsThe accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separatelyThe models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.