Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io
CheckWeather UK›Kilburn

Kilburn weather

Loading live data…

Kilburn weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for East Midlands

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for East Midlands…

Kilburn weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Kilburn swings 19°C across the year, from 20°C highs in August to 1°C lows in February, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 789 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 11 days a year at 25°C or above, 1 of them at 30°C or above, 32 frost nights, and rain on 148 days.

Warmest month
August
20°C average high
Coldest month
February
1°C average low
Wettest month
October
789 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
5,552
share this forecast
Warm days
11 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
32 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
148 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Kilburn’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Kilburn and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Kilburn hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Kilburn 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Kilburn, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 20°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around 1°C), with roughly 789 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Kilburn right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Kilburn climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
7°
2°
Feb
6°
1°
Mar
9°
2°
Apr
12°
5°
May
15°
7°
Jun
18°
10°
Jul
19°
12°
Aug
20°
12°
Sep
17°
10°
Oct
13°
7°
Nov
9°
4°
Dec
6°
2°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Kilburn has changed since 1995

Kilburn sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Nottingham. That square ran 0.5°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Nottingham page.

Which forecast is most accurate in the UK?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C97±1.0 mph8793% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
85
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C95±1.5 mph7184% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
83
/100rank #3
88±0.7°C93±2.1 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…

One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Kilburn today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Kilburn today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Kilburn today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Kilburn and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Kilburn?
No single model is always right. Met Office, European, American each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Kilburn forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested UK accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Kilburn?
August is typically the warmest month in Kilburn, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Kilburn get?
The coldest month in Kilburn is February, when overnight lows average about 1°C.
How much rain does Kilburn get?
Kilburn sees roughly 789 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More UK weather