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Mexico weather

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EuropeanECMWF
23°
Clear
Feels 27° · Wind 1 mph · Humidity 91%
AmericanNOAA GFS
24°
Clear
Feels 28° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 87%
GermanDWD ICON
25°
Mainly clear
Feels 30° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 87%

Latest for Mexico: European (ECMWF): 23° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 24° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 25° Mainly clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Mexico and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Heading to Mexico? Mexico, Mexico, sits at 21.2°N in a tropical climate zone. The averages on this page are measured at Cancún, the main gateway for UK travellers; inland and mountain areas run cooler. Before you lock in outdoor plans, compare how the three global models - European (ECMWF), American (GFS) and German (ICON) - forecast Mexico right now. Where they agree you can trust it; the days they split are exactly when a single weather app is least reliable. For a beach trip the rain and wind columns below matter most - that is what makes or breaks a day by the sea.

Where to go in Mexico

We cover one destination in Mexico, each with its own live three-model comparison and long-run averages. The table shows the typical daytime high in January and July and the wettest month, so you can see how much the coast, the cities and the islands differ before you pick dates.

DestinationJan highJul highWettest monthRain per year
Cancun27°C32°CSeptember1406 mm

Best time to visit Mexico

The most comfortable time to visit Mexico is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 24-33°C range and the heaviest September rain is behind you.

Mexico weather by month

what to expect in Mexico through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Mexico's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Mexico by season.

Jan
27°
21°
Warm
Feb
27°
21°
Warm
Mar
29°
23°
Hot
Apr
30°
23°
Hot
May
32°
24°
Hot
Jun
31°
24°
Hot
Jul
32°
25°
Hot
Aug
32°
24°
Hot
Sep
31°
24°
Hot
Wettest
Oct
30°
24°
Hot
Nov
29°
22°
Hot
Dec
27°
22°
Warm

Mexico compared with London

30-year averages: daytime highs month by month, rain and sunlight

Warmer through the year

+14°C

average daytime high: Mexico 30°C, London 16°C

Rain over a year

+129%

Mexico 1,406 mm, London 615 mm

Sunlight vs a clear sky

84% vs 63%

solar energy reaching the ground as a share of a cloudless day, averaged over the year (not sunshine hours)

MexicoLondonaverage daytime high, °C, 1991-2020
January, London: 9°CJanuary, Mexico: 27°C (+18°C)February, London: 9°CFebruary, Mexico: 27°C (+18°C)March, London: 12°CMarch, Mexico: 29°C (+17°C)April, London: 15°CApril, Mexico: 30°C (+15°C)May, London: 18°CMay, Mexico: 32°C (+14°C)June, London: 21°CJune, Mexico: 31°C (+10°C)July, London: 24°CJuly, Mexico: 32°C (+8°C)August, London: 23°CAugust, Mexico: 32°C (+9°C)September, London: 20°CSeptember, Mexico: 31°C (+11°C)October, London: 16°COctober, Mexico: 30°C (+14°C)November, London: 12°CNovember, Mexico: 29°C (+17°C)December, London: 9°CDecember, Mexico: 27°C (+18°C)

On 30-year averages Mexico runs 14°C warmer than London, with every month between +8°C and +18°C. Over a year it gets 129% more rain than London.

Month by month in numbers
MonthMexicoLondonDifferenceSunlight, MexicoSunlight, London
January27°C9°C+18°C79%58%
February27°C9°C+18°C84%59%
March29°C12°C+17°C88%63%
April30°C15°C+15°C89%67%
May32°C18°C+14°C87%65%
June31°C21°C+10°C80%66%
July32°C24°C+8°C88%67%
August32°C23°C+9°C87%66%
September31°C20°C+11°C83%68%
October30°C16°C+14°C80%62%
November29°C12°C+17°C81%59%
December27°C9°C+18°C81%58%

Daytime highs and lows on this page are 1991-2020 averages. Mexico: no weather station within 30 km at a similar height, so lows are ERA5 point values for 2023-2024, corrected month by month by NASA POWER's difference between those two years and 1991-2020, and highs are the uncorrected ERA5 values, which tested closer to station normals; rain is the CHELSA 1981-2010 climatology on a 1 km grid. London: station normals from London (WMO), rain included. Sunlight vs a clear sky is NASA POWER's long-term average of the solar energy reaching the ground as a share of a cloudless day; it compares cloudiness and is not a count of sunshine hours. London stands in for the UK here; other cities have their own climate tables.

Mexico month by month

Common questions

When is the best time to visit Mexico?
The most comfortable time to visit Mexico is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 24-33°C range and the heaviest September rain is behind you.
Will it rain in Mexico during my trip?
Rain is where forecasts disagree most. Instead of trusting one app, the comparison above lines up the European, American and German models for Mexico - check your dates and look for the days they agree; those are the ones you can plan around.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mexico?
For destinations abroad we compare three open global models (ECMWF, GFS and ICON) and show you where they disagree, so you can judge the confidence yourself.
How much warmer is Mexico than London?
On 30-year averages (1991-2020) the daytime high in Mexico is about 14°C warmer than in London (30°C against 16°C), with the monthly gap between 8°C and 18°C.

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