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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Vernon weather

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Drizzle,warmer tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 21° in Vernon today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 24°, with a 7% chance of rain.

21°
24°10°
23°12°
25°11°
27°12°
23°13°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±2°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±8°
Env. CanadaGEM model
22°
Drizzle
Today 22°·Low ·Rain 10%
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Drizzle
Today 20°·Low 11°·Rain 98%
AmericanNOAA GFS
21°
Cloudy
Today 21°·Low ·Rain 12%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Vernon and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
21°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
24° 10°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
23° 12°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
25° 11°
±2°
Wed
Cloudy
27° 12°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
23° 13°
±8°
Fri
Cloudy
22° 12°
±5°
Sat
Clear
21° 11°
±4°
Sun
Clear
24° 10°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
26° 12°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
27° 12°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
29° 13°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
21° 14°
±11°
Fri
Mostly clear
22° 11°
±4°

Vernon, British Columbia is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 32°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -5°C), with roughly 401 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Vernon right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Vernon climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-5°
Feb
-3°
Mar
10°
-2°
Apr
14°
May
22°
Jun
24°
12°
Jul
32°
17°
Aug
29°
17°
Sep
23°
13°
Oct
14°
Nov
Dec
-1°

Which forecast is most accurate in Vernon?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C96±1.9 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
86
/100rank #2
78±1.2°C94±3.1 km/t8994% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
86
/100rank #3
79±1.2°C92±4.1 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°20° to 22°±88%10% to 98% chance
Tomorrow±2°23° to 25°±7%0% to 7% chance
Mon±2°22° to 24°±8%2% to 10% chance
Tue±2°24° to 26°±3%2% to 5% chance
Wed±2°26° to 28°±6%0% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Vernon

today, local time
Sunrise
06:18
Sunset
19:32
Daylight
13h 14m

Common questions

What's the weather in Vernon today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Vernon today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Vernon today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Vernon and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Vernon?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Vernon (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Vernon?
July is typically the warmest month in Vernon, with average highs around 32°C.
How cold does Vernon get?
The coldest month in Vernon is January, when overnight lows average about -5°C.
How much rain does Vernon get?
Vernon sees roughly 401 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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