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CheckWeather CA›Salmon Arm
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Salmon Arm weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Salmon Arm's high today between 7° and 10°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 11°, with a 100% chance of rain.

9°3°
11°4°
10°3°
9°2°
7°3°
6°1°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
3°
Clear
Feels 0° · Wind 1 km/h · Humidity 65%
EuropeanECMWF
5°
Overcast
Feels 3° · Wind 2 km/h · Humidity 95%
AmericanNOAA GFS
0°
Overcast
Feels -3° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 60%

Latest for Salmon Arm: Env. Canada (GEM model): 3° Clear · European (ECMWF): 5° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 0° Overcast.

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Salmon Arm weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Salmon Arm swings 32°C across the year, from 28°C highs in July to -4°C lows in January, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 496 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 65 days a year at 25°C or above, 27 of them at 30°C or above, 105 frost nights, and rain on 142 days.

Warmest month
July
28°C average high
Coldest month
January
-4°C average low
Wettest month
December
496 mm a year
Comfortable
3 months
May, June and September
Residents
19,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
96/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
65 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
105 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
142 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Salmon Arm’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Salmon Arm and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Salmon Arm hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Salmon Arm 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
9° 3°
±3°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
11° 4°
±4°
Mon
Partly cloudy
10° 3°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
9° 2°
±3°
Wed
Drizzle
7° 3°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
6° 1°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
5° -1°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
4° -3°
±4°
Sun
Cloudy
6° -3°
±7°
Mon
Light drizzle
7° 1°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
7° 1°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
6° 1°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
7° 3°
models agree

Salmon Arm, British Columbia is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 28°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -4°C), with roughly 496 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Salmon Arm right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Salmon Arm climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
1°
-4°
Feb
4°
-4°
Mar
11°
1°
Apr
14°
3°
May
20°
8°
Jun
23°
12°
Jul
28°
14°
Aug
27°
15°
Sep
21°
11°
Oct
12°
5°
Nov
5°
0°
Dec
0°
-4°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Salmon Arm has changed since 1995

Salmon Arm sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Vernon. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Vernon page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Salmon Arm?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
97±0.2°C97±1.5 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
79
/100rank #2
80±1.1°C96±2.0 km/h6581% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
77
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C90±5.0 km/h5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°7° to 10°±59%41% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±4°10° to 14°±33%67% to 100% chance
Mon±4°9° to 13°±26%8% to 34% chance
Tue±3°7° to 10°±25%34% to 59% chance
Wed±5°4° to 9°±28%43% to 71% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Salmon Arm

today, local time
Sunrise
07:35
Sunset
17:46
Daylight
10h 11m

Common questions

What's the weather in Salmon Arm today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Salmon Arm's high today between 7° and 10°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 11°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Salmon Arm today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Salmon Arm on Sunday, October 25: every model gives at least 67% (Env. Canada 100%, European 100%, American 67%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Salmon Arm?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Salmon Arm (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Salmon Arm?
July is typically the warmest month in Salmon Arm, with average highs around 28°C.
How cold does Salmon Arm get?
The coldest month in Salmon Arm is January, when overnight lows average about -4°C.
How much rain does Salmon Arm get?
Salmon Arm sees roughly 496 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather