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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CAKelowna
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Kelowna weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Kelowna's high today between 19° and 22°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 23°, with a 9% chance of rain.

21°11°
23°12°
24°13°
26°12°
27°13°
22°13°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaysplit ±8°
Env. CanadaGEM model
22°
Light drizzle
Today 22°·Low 11°·Rain 18%
EuropeanECMWF
19°
Light drizzle
Today 19°·Low 12°·Rain 53%
AmericanNOAA GFS
21°
Cloudy
Today 21°·Low 10°·Rain 12%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Kelowna and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
21° 11°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
23° 12°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
24° 13°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
26° 12°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
27° 13°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
22° 13°
±8°
Fri
Partly cloudy
22° 12°
±4°
Sat
Showers
21° 12°
±4°
Sun
Mostly clear
24° 11°
±4°
Mon
Cloudy
26° 13°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
27° 13°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
29° 15°
±4°
Thu
Partly cloudy
22° 15°
±10°
Fri
Light drizzle
22° 12°
±6°

Kelowna, British Columbia is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 33°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -4°C), with roughly 393 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Kelowna right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Kelowna climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-4°
Feb
-2°
Mar
10°
-1°
Apr
15°
May
23°
Jun
25°
12°
Jul
33°
17°
Aug
30°
17°
Sep
24°
13°
Oct
15°
Nov
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Kelowna?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
80±1.1°C97±1.7 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #2
76±1.3°C88±5.9 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
69
/100rank #3
45±3.0°C90±5.1 km/t8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°19° to 22°±41%12% to 53% chance
Tomorrow±3°22° to 25°±7%2% to 9% chance
Mon±2°23° to 25°±7%5% to 12% chance
Tue±4°24° to 28°±3%0% to 3% chance
Wed±6°25° to 30°±4%0% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Kelowna

today, local time
Sunrise
06:19
Sunset
19:33
Daylight
13h 14m

Common questions

What's the weather in Kelowna today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Kelowna today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Kelowna today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Kelowna and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Kelowna?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Kelowna (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Kelowna?
July is typically the warmest month in Kelowna, with average highs around 33°C.
How cold does Kelowna get?
The coldest month in Kelowna is January, when overnight lows average about -4°C.
How much rain does Kelowna get?
Kelowna sees roughly 393 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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