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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Okanagan Mission weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Okanagan Mission's high today between 10° and 12°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 12°, with a 86% chance of rain.

11°5°
12°5°
12°4°
11°4°
8°4°
7°2°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±4°
Env. CanadaGEM model
3°
Clear
Feels 1° · Wind 1 km/h · Humidity 62%
EuropeanECMWF
7°
Overcast
Feels 5° · Wind 2 km/h · Humidity 55%
AmericanNOAA GFS
2°
Overcast
Feels -1° · Wind 1 km/h · Humidity 64%

Latest for Okanagan Mission: Env. Canada (GEM model): 3° Clear · European (ECMWF): 7° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 2° Overcast.

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Okanagan Mission weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Okanagan Mission swings 35°C across the year, from 31°C highs in July to -4°C lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 459 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 86 days a year at 25°C or above, 44 of them at 30°C or above, 111 frost nights, and rain on 106 days.

Warmest month
July
31°C average high
Coldest month
January
-4°C average low
Wettest month
June
459 mm a year
Comfortable
2 months
May and September
Residents
38,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
92/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
86 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
111 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
106 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Okanagan Mission’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Okanagan Mission and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Okanagan Mission hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Okanagan Mission 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
11° 5°
±3°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
12° 5°
±3°
Mon
Partly cloudy
12° 4°
models agree
Tue
Rain
11° 4°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
8° 4°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
7° 2°
±4°
Fri
Partly cloudy
7° 0°
±7°
Sat
Partly cloudy
6° 0°
±4°
Sun
Cloudy
8° 0°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
10° 3°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
11° 2°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
9° 4°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
12° 5°
±4°

Okanagan Mission, British Columbia is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 31°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -4°C), with roughly 459 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Okanagan Mission right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Okanagan Mission climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
3°
-4°
Feb
6°
-2°
Mar
11°
-1°
Apr
15°
2°
May
21°
6°
Jun
24°
10°
Jul
31°
15°
Aug
30°
15°
Sep
23°
11°
Oct
14°
5°
Nov
7°
1°
Dec
2°
-3°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Okanagan Mission has changed since 1995

Okanagan Mission sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Kelowna. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Kelowna page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Okanagan Mission?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
83±0.9°C96±2.2 km/h100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
85
/100rank #2
76±1.3°C93±3.4 km/h8994% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
82
/100rank #3
78±1.2°C87±6.3 km/h8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°10° to 12°±60%16% to 76% chance
Tomorrow±3°10° to 13°±61%25% to 86% chance
Mon±1°12° to 13°±27%16% to 43% chance
Tue±2°10° to 12°±14%29% to 43% chance
Wed±3°7° to 9°±28%48% to 76% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Okanagan Mission

today, local time
Sunrise
07:34
Sunset
17:48
Daylight
10h 14m

Common questions

What's the weather in Okanagan Mission today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Okanagan Mission's high today between 10° and 12°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 12°, with a 86% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Okanagan Mission today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Okanagan Mission on Sunday, October 25: Env. Canada 86%, European 59%, American 25%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 76%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Okanagan Mission?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Okanagan Mission (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Okanagan Mission?
July is typically the warmest month in Okanagan Mission, with average highs around 31°C.
How cold does Okanagan Mission get?
The coldest month in Okanagan Mission is January, when overnight lows average about -4°C.
How much rain does Okanagan Mission get?
Okanagan Mission sees roughly 459 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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