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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Rutland weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Rutland's high today between 9° and 12°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 11°, with a 86% chance of rain.

10°4°
11°4°
12°3°
11°4°
7°3°
7°2°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±5°
Env. CanadaGEM model
4°
Clear
Feels 1° · Wind 1 km/h · Humidity 58%
EuropeanECMWF
6°
Overcast
Feels 4° · Wind 1 km/h · Humidity 91%
AmericanNOAA GFS
0°
Overcast
Feels -3° · Wind 3 km/h · Humidity 56%

Latest for Rutland: Env. Canada (GEM model): 4° Clear · European (ECMWF): 6° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 0° Overcast.

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Rutland weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Rutland swings 35°C across the year, from 31°C highs in July to -4°C lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 508 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 84 days a year at 25°C or above, 42 of them at 30°C or above, 116 frost nights, and rain on 106 days.

Warmest month
July
31°C average high
Coldest month
January
-4°C average low
Wettest month
June
508 mm a year
Comfortable
2 months
May and September
Residents
35,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
94/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
84 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
116 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
106 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Rutland’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Rutland and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Rutland hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Rutland 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
10° 4°
±4°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
11° 4°
±4°
Mon
Cloudy
12° 3°
models agree
Tue
Showers
11° 4°
±3°
Wed
Drizzle
7° 3°
±4°
Thu
Partly cloudy
7° 2°
±5°
Fri
Partly cloudy
6° 0°
±6°
Sat
Cloudy
6° -1°
±5°
Sun
Cloudy
7° -1°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
10° 2°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
12° 2°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
9° 3°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
10° 5°
±5°

Rutland, British Columbia is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 31°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -4°C), with roughly 508 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Rutland right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Rutland climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
3°
-4°
Feb
6°
-2°
Mar
11°
-1°
Apr
14°
2°
May
20°
6°
Jun
24°
10°
Jul
31°
14°
Aug
29°
15°
Sep
23°
10°
Oct
14°
4°
Nov
7°
1°
Dec
2°
-4°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Rutland has changed since 1995

Rutland sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Kelowna. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Kelowna page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Rutland?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C96±2.1 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
86
/100rank #2
84±0.9°C96±1.8 km/h8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
84
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C89±5.4 km/h8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°9° to 12°±59%17% to 76% chance
Tomorrow±4°10° to 14°±59%27% to 86% chance
Mon±1°12° to 13°±10%14% to 24% chance
Tue±3°10° to 12°±10%27% to 37% chance
Wed±4°5° to 9°±16%48% to 64% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Rutland

today, local time
Sunrise
07:34
Sunset
17:48
Daylight
10h 14m

Common questions

What's the weather in Rutland today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Rutland's high today between 9° and 12°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 11°, with a 86% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Rutland today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Rutland on Sunday, October 25: Env. Canada 86%, European 75%, American 27%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 76%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Rutland?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Rutland (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Rutland?
July is typically the warmest month in Rutland, with average highs around 31°C.
How cold does Rutland get?
The coldest month in Rutland is January, when overnight lows average about -4°C.
How much rain does Rutland get?
Rutland sees roughly 508 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather