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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CASimcoe
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Simcoe weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Simcoe's high today between 21° and 25°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 22°, with a 0% chance of rain.

23°15°
22°14°
24°14°
24°20°
24°16°
22°13°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±2°Fridaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
25°
Mostly clear
Today 25°·Low 15°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Mostly clear
Today 21°·Low 17°·Rain 10%
AmericanNOAA GFS
23°
Mostly clear
Today 23°·Low 14°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Simcoe and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
23° 15°
±4°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
22° 14°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
24° 14°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
24° 20°
±4°
Thu
Drizzle
24° 16°
±2°
Fri
Partly cloudy
22° 13°
±3°
Sat
Showers
24° 17°
±5°
Sun
Drizzle
24° 17°
±10°
Mon
Clear
22° 12°
±10°
Tue
Clear
22° 14°
±5°
Wed
Clear
20° 13°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
20° 12°
±2°
Fri
Light drizzle
20° 13°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
21° 15°
models agree

Simcoe is a small town of about 14,000 people in Ontario, sitting at 42.8°N in a temperate climate zone. Env. Canada, European, American each forecast Simcoe with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Norfolk County, Delhi, Brantford.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Simcoe?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C95±2.6 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
76
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C95±2.7 km/t4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
69
/100rank #3
64±2.0°C93±3.3 km/t5877% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°21° to 25°±10%0% to 10% chance
Tomorrow±3°21° to 24°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±1°23° to 25°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±4°23° to 26°±32%29% to 61% chance
Thu±2°23° to 25°±8%14% to 22% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Simcoe

today, local time
Sunrise
06:51
Sunset
19:47
Daylight
12h 56m

Common questions

What's the weather in Simcoe today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Simcoe today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Simcoe today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Simcoe and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Simcoe?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Simcoe (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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