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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CAParis
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Paris weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 23° in Paris today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 23°, with a 2% chance of rain.

23°15°
23°12°
25°13°
24°18°
23°15°
22°11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±5°
Env. CanadaGEM model
24°
Mostly clear
Today 24°·Low 16°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Partly cloudy
Today 22°·Low 15°·Rain 8%
AmericanNOAA GFS
23°
Cloudy
Today 23°·Low 14°·Rain 3%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Paris and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
23° 15°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
23° 12°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
25° 13°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
24° 18°
±5°
Thu
Drizzle
23° 15°
±3°
Fri
Partly cloudy
22° 11°
±5°
Sat
Showers
25° 14°
±4°
Sun
Light drizzle
24° 14°
±10°
Mon
Mostly clear
19° 11°
±6°
Tue
Mostly clear
21° 12°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
20° 11°
±2°
Thu
Light drizzle
20° 11°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 11°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
20° 12°
models agree

Paris is a small town of about 12,000 people in Ontario, sitting at 43.2°N in a temperate climate zone. Env. Canada, European, American each forecast Paris with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Brant, Ayr, Brantford.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Paris?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C97±1.4 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
81
/100rank #2
72±1.6°C93±3.3 km/t8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
73
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C96±2.2 km/t4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°22° to 24°±8%0% to 8% chance
Tomorrow±1°23° to 24°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±2°24° to 26°±4%0% to 4% chance
Wed±5°21° to 26°±42%33% to 75% chance
Thu±3°21° to 25°±7%11% to 18% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Paris

today, local time
Sunrise
06:51
Sunset
19:48
Daylight
12h 57m

Common questions

What's the weather in Paris today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Paris today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Paris today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Paris and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Paris?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Paris (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More CA weather