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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Paris weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 16° in Paris today. Tomorrow: partly cloudy, around 18°, with a 2% chance of rain.

16°3°
18°3°
17°7°
10°3°
14°3°
20°7°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±2°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
4°
Clear
Feels 1° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 94%
EuropeanECMWF
6°
Clear
Feels 3° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 87%
AmericanNOAA GFS
3°
Clear
Feels 0° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 91%

Latest for Paris: Env. Canada (GEM model): 4° Clear · European (ECMWF): 6° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 3° Clear.

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Paris weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Paris swings 35°C across the year, from 26°C highs in July to -9°C lows in February, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 905 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
26°C average high
Coldest month
February
-9°C average low
Wettest month
July
905 mm a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
12,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Paris and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Paris hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Paris 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
16° 3°
models agree
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
18° 3°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
17° 7°
±2°
Tue
Cloudy
10° 3°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
14° 3°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
20° 7°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
16° 5°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
18° 7°
±5°
Sun
Drizzle
18° 8°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
15° 6°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
10° 3°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
7° 0°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
10° 3°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
10° 2°
models agree

Paris, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -9°C), with roughly 905 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Paris right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Paris climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-2°
-8°
Feb
0°
-9°
Mar
5°
-5°
Apr
12°
1°
May
19°
7°
Jun
24°
13°
Jul
26°
15°
Aug
25°
15°
Sep
21°
12°
Oct
14°
6°
Nov
8°
0°
Dec
2°
-4°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Paris has changed since 1995

Paris sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Norfolk County. That square ran 1.2°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Norfolk County page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Paris?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C98±1.2 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
92
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C96±2.0 km/h9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
87
/100rank #3
83±1.0°C92±3.8 km/h8994% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°16° to 17°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°18° to 18°±2%0% to 2% chance
Mon±2°16° to 18°±6%0% to 6% chance
Tue±2°10° to 11°±1%0% to 1% chance
Wed±6°12° to 17°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Paris

today, local time
Sunrise
07:46
Sunset
18:24
Daylight
10h 38m

Common questions

What's the weather in Paris today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 16° in Paris today. Tomorrow: partly cloudy, around 18°, with a 2% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Paris today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Paris on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 2% (Env. Canada 0%, European 2%, American 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Paris?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Paris (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 92. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Paris?
July is typically the warmest month in Paris, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Paris get?
The coldest month in Paris is February, when overnight lows average about -9°C.
How much rain does Paris get?
Paris sees roughly 905 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather