Skip to main content
Every Canadian forecast, compared
checkweather.io
CheckWeather CAAyr

Ayr weather

Loading live data…

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Ayr and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Ayr, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -6°C), with roughly 1017 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Ayr right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Ayr climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-5°
Feb
-6°
Mar
-3°
Apr
14°
May
21°
Jun
25°
14°
Jul
27°
16°
Aug
25°
15°
Sep
23°
13°
Oct
16°
Nov
Dec
-2°

Which forecast is most accurate in Ayr?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C97±1.4 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
83
/100rank #2
77±1.3°C93±3.3 km/t8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
76
/100rank #3
80±1.1°C95±2.5 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Common questions

What's the weather in Ayr today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Ayr today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Ayr today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Ayr and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Ayr?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Ayr (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Ayr?
July is typically the warmest month in Ayr, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Ayr get?
The coldest month in Ayr is February, when overnight lows average about -6°C.
How much rain does Ayr get?
Ayr sees roughly 1017 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather