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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CANorfolk County
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Norfolk County weather

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Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 23° in Norfolk County today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 22°, with a 0% chance of rain.

23°14°
22°12°
25°13°
24°20°
24°15°
22°12°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±2°Wednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±4°
Env. CanadaGEM model
24°
Partly cloudy
Today 24°·Low 13°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Partly cloudy
Today 22°·Low 15°·Rain 12%
AmericanNOAA GFS
23°
Mostly clear
Today 23°·Low 14°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Norfolk County and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
23° 14°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
22° 12°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
25° 13°
±2°
Wed
Cloudy
24° 20°
±4°
Thu
Drizzle
24° 15°
±3°
Fri
Mostly clear
22° 12°
±4°
Sat
Showers
25° 15°
±4°
Sun
Light drizzle
24° 15°
±10°
Mon
Clear
21° 11°
±10°
Tue
Clear
22° 13°
±4°
Wed
Mostly clear
20° 11°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
20° 10°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 11°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
21° 14°
models agree

Norfolk County, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -4°C), with roughly 1036 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Norfolk County right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Norfolk County climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-4°
Feb
-4°
Mar
-2°
Apr
14°
May
21°
Jun
25°
15°
Jul
27°
17°
Aug
25°
16°
Sep
23°
14°
Oct
16°
Nov
Dec
-2°

Which forecast is most accurate in Norfolk County?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C97±1.6 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
79
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C95±2.5 km/t5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
78
/100rank #3
80±1.1°C93±3.3 km/t6581% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°22° to 24°±12%0% to 12% chance
Tomorrow±2°21° to 24°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°24° to 26°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±4°22° to 26°±31%30% to 61% chance
Thu±3°23° to 25°±5%13% to 18% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Norfolk County

today, local time
Sunrise
06:51
Sunset
19:47
Daylight
12h 56m

Common questions

What's the weather in Norfolk County today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Norfolk County today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Norfolk County today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Norfolk County and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Norfolk County?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Norfolk County (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Norfolk County?
July is typically the warmest month in Norfolk County, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Norfolk County get?
The coldest month in Norfolk County is January, when overnight lows average about -4°C.
How much rain does Norfolk County get?
Norfolk County sees roughly 1036 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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