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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CAAncaster
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Ancaster weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Ancaster's high today between 20° and 23°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 23°, with a 4% chance of rain.

22°15°
23°12°
24°12°
24°18°
23°15°
22°11°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±5°
Env. CanadaGEM model
23°
Mostly clear
Today 23°·Low 15°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Partly cloudy
Today 20°·Low 15°·Rain 4%
AmericanNOAA GFS
22°
Clear
Today 22°·Low 14°·Rain 2%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Ancaster and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
22° 15°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
23° 12°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
24° 12°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
24° 18°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
23° 15°
±3°
Fri
Partly cloudy
22° 11°
±5°
Sat
Showers
25° 14°
±4°
Sun
Light drizzle
24° 14°
±10°
Mon
Clear
19° 11°
±7°
Tue
Clear
20° 13°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
20° 11°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
20° 11°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
20° 11°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
19° 12°
models agree

Ancaster, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -6°C), with roughly 1023 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Ancaster right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Ancaster climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-4°
Feb
-6°
Mar
-2°
Apr
14°
May
20°
Jun
24°
14°
Jul
27°
17°
Aug
25°
16°
Sep
23°
14°
Oct
17°
Nov
Dec
-2°

Which forecast is most accurate in Ancaster?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C97±1.6 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
80
/100rank #2
78±1.2°C94±3.1 km/t7184% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
71
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C96±1.8 km/t3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°20° to 23°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tomorrow±1°23° to 23°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tue±2°23° to 25°±4%0% to 4% chance
Wed±6°21° to 26°±28%33% to 61% chance
Thu±3°22° to 25°±4%11% to 15% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Ancaster

today, local time
Sunrise
06:50
Sunset
19:46
Daylight
12h 56m

Common questions

What's the weather in Ancaster today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Ancaster today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Ancaster today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Ancaster and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Ancaster?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Ancaster (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Ancaster?
July is typically the warmest month in Ancaster, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Ancaster get?
The coldest month in Ancaster is February, when overnight lows average about -6°C.
How much rain does Ancaster get?
Ancaster sees roughly 1023 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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