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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CAHamilton
Forecast confidence: Low · models disagree by 5°C

Hamilton weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Hamilton's high today between 20° and 24°, a 5° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 24°, with a 4% chance of rain.

22°17°
24°14°
24°15°
24°20°
24°17°
23°14°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±4°
Env. CanadaGEM model
24°
Cloudy
Today 24°·Low 17°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Mostly clear
Today 20°·Low 18°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
23°
Mostly clear
Today 23°·Low 16°·Rain 1%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Hamilton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
22° 17°
±5°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
24° 14°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
24° 15°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
24° 20°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
24° 17°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
23° 14°
±4°
Sat
Showers
26° 16°
±4°
Sun
Light drizzle
24° 16°
±8°
Mon
Clear
19° 14°
±6°
Tue
Clear
19° 16°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
20° 15°
±2°
Thu
Drizzle
20° 15°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
19° 15°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
20° 16°
±3°

Hamilton, Ontario. Below we compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Hamilton right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Hamilton's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Hamilton weather by month

what to expect in Hamilton through the year

Here is Hamilton's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Hamilton by season.

Jan
-4°
Cold
Feb
-5°
Cold
Mar
-2°
Cold
Apr
14°
Cool
May
20°
Mild
Jun
24°
15°
Warm
Jul
27°
17°
Warm
Wettest
Aug
25°
16°
Warm
Sep
23°
14°
Warm
Oct
17°
Mild
Nov
Cool
Dec
-2°
Cold

What Hamilton's weather is like through the year

Hamilton runs from warm summers, with July highs near 27°C, to cold winters, when February lows sit around -5°C (a swing of about 32°C across the year). July is usually the wettest month, and Hamilton sees roughly 1011 mm of precipitation annually. Overnight lows stay below freezing across 4 months (January, February, March and December), so Hamilton sees regular winter snowfall.

Best time to visit Hamilton

The most comfortable time to visit Hamilton is usually May, June, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest July rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Hamilton?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
87±0.7°C98±1.2 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
67
/100rank #2
41±3.3°C96±1.8 km/t7687% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
66
/100rank #3
65±2.0°C96±2.2 km/t4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Hamilton, scoring 93/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the Env. Canada at 67. See the full CA accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°20° to 24°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±2°23° to 25°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tue±4°22° to 26°±6%0% to 6% chance
Wed±6°21° to 27°±32%29% to 61% chance
Thu±1°23° to 24°±10%6% to 16% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Hamilton

today, local time
Sunrise
06:49
Sunset
19:46
Daylight
12h 57m

Common questions

What's the weather in Hamilton today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Hamilton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Hamilton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Hamilton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Hamilton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Hamilton (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 67. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Hamilton?
July is typically the warmest month in Hamilton, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Hamilton get?
The coldest month in Hamilton is February, when overnight lows average about -5°C.
How much rain does Hamilton get?
Hamilton sees roughly 1011 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Hamilton?
The most comfortable time to visit Hamilton is usually May, June, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest July rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Hamilton?
Yes - overnight lows fall below freezing across 4 months (January, February, March and December) in Hamilton, so winter snowfall is common.

Nearby

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