Milton weather
Loading live data…Clear,much the same tomorrow
Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Milton's high today between 15° and 17°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: partly cloudy, around 18°, with a 0% chance of rain.
Latest for Milton: Env. Canada (GEM model): 1° Clear · European (ECMWF): 4° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 2° Clear.
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.Milton weather in numbers
measured normals and 10 years of recorded weatherMilton swings 36°C across the year, from 26°C highs in July to -10°C lows in February, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 869 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 76 days a year at 25°C or above, 18 of them at 30°C or above, 132 frost nights, and rain on 131 days.
Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Milton’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.
The weather map: all three models at once
Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Milton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Milton hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three modelsRain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by sideLoading the three models…
Milton 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they splitMilton, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -10°C), with roughly 869 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Milton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.
Milton climate by month
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How the weather around Milton has changed since 1995
Milton sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Brampton. That square ran 0.9°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Brampton page.
Which forecast is most accurate in Milton?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
What do you think of the forecasts?
your vote countsThe accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separatelyThe models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.