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CheckWeather CA›Mississauga
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Mississauga weather

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Clear,warmer tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 14° in Mississauga today. Tomorrow: partly cloudy, around 18°, with a 0% chance of rain.

14°3°
18°4°
17°8°
9°4°
11°6°
20°7°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±2°
Env. CanadaGEM model
2°
Clear
Feels -1° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 92%
EuropeanECMWF
5°
Clear
Feels 2° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 90%
AmericanNOAA GFS
4°
Clear
Feels 0° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 88%

Latest for Mississauga: Env. Canada (GEM model): 2° Clear · European (ECMWF): 5° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 4° Clear.

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Mississauga weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Mississauga swings 35°C across the year, from 25°C highs in July to -10°C lows in February, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 935 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 78 days a year at 25°C or above, 20 of them at 30°C or above, 130 frost nights, and rain on 129 days.

Warmest month
July
25°C average high
Coldest month
February
-10°C average low
Wettest month
August
935 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and September
Residents
718,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
95/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
78 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
130 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
129 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Mississauga’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Mississauga and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Mississauga in 3D: the weather on the streets, hour by hour

Rain, sun and real shadows drawn on a 3D map of Mississauga, 48 hours ahead. Drag the timeline, pick what you are doing or where you are going, and read the verdict for that hour.Full screen ↗

What are you doing?

Where are you going?

Mississauga hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Mississauga 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
14° 3°
models agree
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
18° 4°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
17° 8°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
9° 4°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
11° 6°
±4°
Thu
Partly cloudy
20° 7°
±2°
Fri
Clear
16° 7°
±3°
Sat
Cloudy
16° 8°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
17° 9°
±3°
Mon
Drizzle
16° 8°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
11° 3°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
8° 2°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
11° 4°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
10° 4°
models agree

Mississauga, Ontario. Below we compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Mississauga right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Mississauga's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Mississauga weather by month

what to expect in Mississauga through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Mississauga's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Mississauga by season.

Jan
-2°
-8°
Cold
Feb
1°
-10°
Cold
Mar
4°
-5°
Cold
Apr
12°
1°
Cool
May
18°
7°
Mild
Jun
22°
13°
Warm
Jul
25°
15°
Warm
Aug
24°
15°
Warm
Wettest
Sep
20°
11°
Mild
Oct
14°
5°
Cool
Nov
7°
-1°
Cold
Dec
1°
-4°
Cold

What Mississauga's weather is like through the year

Mississauga runs from warm summers, with July highs near 25°C, to cold winters, when February lows sit around -10°C (a swing of about 35°C across the year). August is usually the wettest month, and Mississauga sees roughly 935 mm of precipitation annually. Overnight lows stay below freezing across 5 months (January, February, March, November and December), so Mississauga sees regular winter snowfall.

Best time to visit Mississauga

The most comfortable time to visit Mississauga is usually May, June, July and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest August rain is behind you.

How the weather around Mississauga has changed since 1995

Mississauga sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Toronto. That square ran 2.1°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Toronto page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Mississauga?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
90±0.5°C96±2.0 km/h100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
89
/100rank #2
80±1.1°C95±2.6 km/h9597% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
81
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C94±3.0 km/h6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Mississauga, scoring 95/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the Env. Canada at 89. See the full CA accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°14° to 15°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°17° to 19°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°16° to 18°±16%0% to 16% chance
Tue±1°9° to 9°±6%0% to 6% chance
Wed±4°10° to 14°±4%2% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Mississauga

today, local time
Sunrise
07:44
Sunset
18:20
Daylight
10h 36m

Common questions

What's the weather in Mississauga today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 14° in Mississauga today. Tomorrow: partly cloudy, around 18°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Mississauga today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Mississauga on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mississauga?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Mississauga (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 89. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Mississauga?
July is typically the warmest month in Mississauga, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Mississauga get?
The coldest month in Mississauga is February, when overnight lows average about -10°C.
How much rain does Mississauga get?
Mississauga sees roughly 935 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Mississauga?
The most comfortable time to visit Mississauga is usually May, June, July and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest August rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Mississauga?
Yes - overnight lows fall below freezing across 5 months (January, February, March, November and December) in Mississauga, so winter snowfall is common.

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