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CheckWeather CAEtobicoke
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Etobicoke weather

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Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 22° in Etobicoke today. Tomorrow looks clear around 23°, with a 5% chance of rain.

22°15°
23°14°
24°14°
24°18°
23°16°
22°13°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±5°
Env. CanadaGEM model
23°
Partly cloudy
Today 23°·Low 15°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Light drizzle
Today 21°·Low 16°·Rain 47%
AmericanNOAA GFS
21°
Cloudy
Today 21°·Low 15°·Rain 1%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Etobicoke and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
22° 15°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
23° 14°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
24° 14°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
24° 18°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
23° 16°
±3°
Fri
Partly cloudy
22° 13°
±5°
Sat
Showers
25° 15°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
24° 15°
±12°
Mon
Clear
19° 12°
±5°
Tue
Mostly clear
20° 14°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
20° 12°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
21° 13°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
20° 13°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
19° 14°
models agree

Etobicoke, Ontario. Below we compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Etobicoke right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Etobicoke's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Etobicoke weather by month

what to expect in Etobicoke through the year

Here is Etobicoke's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Etobicoke by season.

Jan
-4°
Cold
Feb
-6°
Cold
Mar
-2°
Cold
Apr
13°
Cool
Wettest
May
19°
Mild
Jun
23°
15°
Warm
Jul
26°
17°
Warm
Aug
25°
17°
Warm
Sep
23°
14°
Warm
Oct
17°
Mild
Nov
Cool
Dec
-1°
Cold

What Etobicoke's weather is like through the year

Etobicoke runs from warm summers, with July highs near 26°C, to cold winters, when February lows sit around -6°C (a swing of about 32°C across the year). April is usually the wettest month, and Etobicoke sees roughly 980 mm of precipitation annually. Overnight lows stay below freezing across 4 months (January, February, March and December), so Etobicoke sees regular winter snowfall.

Best time to visit Etobicoke

The most comfortable time to visit Etobicoke is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest April rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Etobicoke?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
84
/100rank #1
84±0.9°C96±1.9 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
76
/100rank #2
85±0.8°C95±2.4 km/t5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
68
/100rank #3
69±1.7°C96±2.0 km/t4771% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Etobicoke, scoring 84/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 76. See the full CA accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°21° to 23°±47%0% to 47% chance
Tomorrow±2°22° to 24°±5%0% to 5% chance
Tue±1°23° to 24°±6%0% to 6% chance
Wed±5°21° to 26°±24%43% to 67% chance
Thu±3°22° to 25°±8%6% to 14% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Etobicoke

today, local time
Sunrise
06:47
Sunset
19:45
Daylight
12h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Etobicoke today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Etobicoke today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Etobicoke today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Etobicoke and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Etobicoke?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Etobicoke (CheckWeather Score 84/100), ahead of the American at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Etobicoke?
July is typically the warmest month in Etobicoke, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Etobicoke get?
The coldest month in Etobicoke is February, when overnight lows average about -6°C.
How much rain does Etobicoke get?
Etobicoke sees roughly 980 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Etobicoke?
The most comfortable time to visit Etobicoke is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest April rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Etobicoke?
Yes - overnight lows fall below freezing across 4 months (January, February, March and December) in Etobicoke, so winter snowfall is common.

Nearby

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