Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow
Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 22° in Etobicoke today. Tomorrow looks clear around 23°, with a 5% chance of rain.
Etobicoke, Ontario. Below we compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Etobicoke right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Etobicoke's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.
Here is Etobicoke's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Etobicoke by season.
Etobicoke runs from warm summers, with July highs near 26°C, to cold winters, when February lows sit around -6°C (a swing of about 32°C across the year). April is usually the wettest month, and Etobicoke sees roughly 980 mm of precipitation annually. Overnight lows stay below freezing across 4 months (January, February, March and December), so Etobicoke sees regular winter snowfall.
The most comfortable time to visit Etobicoke is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest April rain is behind you.
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Etobicoke, scoring 84/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 76. See the full CA accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.