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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Sainte-Monique weather

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Clear,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 11° in Sainte-Monique today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 13°, with a 77% chance of rain.

11°-2°
13°3°
11°1°
4°-2°
5°-4°
9°2°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
12°
Clear
Today 12°·Low -2°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
11°
Cloudy
Today 11°·Low -1°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
10°
Clear
Today 10°·Low -2°·Rain 1%
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Sainte-Monique weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Sainte-Monique swings 41°C across the year, from 22°C highs in July to -19°C lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 968 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 27 days a year at 25°C or above, 2 of them at 30°C or above, 173 frost nights, and rain on 152 days.

Warmest month
July
22°C average high
Coldest month
January
-19°C average low
Wettest month
July
968 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
14,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
98/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
27 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
173 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
152 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Sainte-Monique’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Sainte-Monique and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Sainte-Monique hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Sainte-Monique 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
11° -2°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
13° 3°
±3°
Mon
Drizzle
11° 1°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
4° -2°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
5° -4°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
9° 2°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
9° 0°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
6° -1°
±4°
Sun
Cloudy
10° -1°
±8°
Mon
Drizzle
11° 4°
±9°
Tue
Drizzle
11° 4°
±8°
Wed
Cloudy
7° 0°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
5° -1°
±6°
Fri
Drizzle
3° 0°
±4°

Sainte-Monique, Quebec is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -19°C), with roughly 968 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Sainte-Monique right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Sainte-Monique climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-10°
-19°
Feb
-9°
-19°
Mar
-3°
-13°
Apr
7°
-4°
May
16°
5°
Jun
20°
11°
Jul
22°
14°
Aug
22°
14°
Sep
18°
9°
Oct
10°
3°
Nov
1°
-4°
Dec
-6°
-14°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Sainte-Monique has changed since 1995

Sainte-Monique sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Alma. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Alma page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Sainte-Monique?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C97±1.4 km/h100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
85
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C96±2.0 km/h7687% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
79
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C94±3.1 km/h5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°10° to 12°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tomorrow±3°12° to 15°±77%0% to 77% chance
Mon±2°10° to 13°±30%9% to 39% chance
Tue±1°3° to 4°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±1°4° to 5°±4%0% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Sainte-Monique

today, local time
Sunrise
07:21
Sunset
17:40
Daylight
10h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Sainte-Monique today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 11° in Sainte-Monique today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 13°, with a 77% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Sainte-Monique today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Sainte-Monique on Sunday, October 25: Env. Canada 0%, European 77%, American 12%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 1%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Sainte-Monique?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Sainte-Monique (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Sainte-Monique?
July is typically the warmest month in Sainte-Monique, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Sainte-Monique get?
The coldest month in Sainte-Monique is January, when overnight lows average about -19°C.
How much rain does Sainte-Monique get?
Sainte-Monique sees roughly 968 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather