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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Jonquiere weather

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Clear,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 13° in Jonquiere today. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 15°, with a 88% chance of rain.

13°-2°
15°1°
11°1°
4°-3°
5°-5°
8°-1°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±7°
Env. CanadaGEM model
2°
Clear
Feels -1° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 79%
EuropeanECMWF
1°
Partly cloudy
Feels -1° · Wind 0 km/h · Humidity 89%
AmericanNOAA GFS
-3°
Fog
Feels -6° · Wind 1 km/h · Humidity 97%

Latest for Jonquiere: Env. Canada (GEM model): 2° Clear · European (ECMWF): 1° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): -3° Fog.

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Jonquiere weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Jonquiere swings 41°C across the year, from 23°C highs in July to -18°C lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1054 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 31 days a year at 25°C or above, 3 of them at 30°C or above, 174 frost nights, and rain on 159 days.

Warmest month
July
23°C average high
Coldest month
January
-18°C average low
Wettest month
July
1054 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
55,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
92/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
31 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
174 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
159 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Jonquiere’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Jonquiere and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Jonquiere hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Jonquiere 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
13° -2°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
15° 1°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
11° 1°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
4° -3°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
5° -5°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
8° -1°
±7°
Fri
Heavy drizzle
8° 1°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
7° -2°
±3°
Sun
Cloudy
10° -2°
±7°
Mon
Light drizzle
12° 2°
±9°
Tue
Drizzle
12° 3°
±7°
Wed
Partly cloudy
6° 0°
±7°
Thu
Light drizzle
6° -1°
±6°
Fri
Drizzle
4° -1°
models agree

Jonquiere, Quebec is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -18°C), with roughly 1054 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Jonquiere right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Jonquiere climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-10°
-18°
Feb
-8°
-18°
Mar
-4°
-13°
Apr
6°
-4°
May
16°
4°
Jun
20°
10°
Jul
23°
14°
Aug
22°
14°
Sep
18°
9°
Oct
10°
3°
Nov
1°
-4°
Dec
-6°
-13°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Jonquiere has changed since 1995

Jonquiere sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Saguenay. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Saguenay page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Jonquiere?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
92±0.5°C96±2.2 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
85
/100rank #2
83±1.0°C94±3.0 km/h8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
77
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C95±2.5 km/h5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°12° to 13°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree15° to 15°±82%6% to 88% chance
Mon±3°10° to 13°±51%24% to 75% chance
Tue±1°3° to 4°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±2°4° to 6°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Jonquiere

today, local time
Sunrise
07:18
Sunset
17:38
Daylight
10h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Jonquiere today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 13° in Jonquiere today. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 15°, with a 88% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Jonquiere today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Jonquiere on Sunday, October 25: Env. Canada 6%, European 88%, American 35%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Jonquiere?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Jonquiere (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Jonquiere?
July is typically the warmest month in Jonquiere, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Jonquiere get?
The coldest month in Jonquiere is January, when overnight lows average about -18°C.
How much rain does Jonquiere get?
Jonquiere sees roughly 1054 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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