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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CAAlma
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Alma weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 21° in Alma today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 22°, with a 67% chance of rain.

21°11°
22°12°
17°
19°
20°13°
14°10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±4°Fridaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
21°
Cloudy
Today 21°·Low ·Rain 14%
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Cloudy
Today 21°·Low 13°·Rain 7%
AmericanNOAA GFS
20°
Fog
Today 20°·Low 10°·Rain 8%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Alma and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
21° 11°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
22° 12°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Wed
Showers
19°
±3°
Thu
Showers
20° 13°
±4°
Fri
Partly cloudy
14° 10°
±3°
Sat
Showers
16°
±6°
Sun
Drizzle
20° 13°
±9°
Mon
Cloudy
18° 10°
±6°
Tue
Cloudy
17° 10°
±4°
Wed
Mostly clear
16° 10°
±7°
Thu
Partly cloudy
15°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
14°
models agree
Sat
Heavy drizzle
16°
±4°

Alma, Quebec is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -16°C), with roughly 1138 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Alma right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Alma climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-7°
-15°
Feb
-6°
-16°
Mar
-8°
Apr
-2°
May
17°
Jun
22°
13°
Jul
25°
17°
Aug
22°
15°
Sep
21°
12°
Oct
13°
Nov
-2°
Dec
-4°
-10°

Which forecast is most accurate in Alma?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C95±2.7 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
70
/100rank #2
71±1.6°C92±3.8 km/t5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
64
/100rank #3
61±2.2°C93±3.4 km/t4771% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°20° to 21°±7%7% to 14% chance
Tomorrow±2°21° to 23°±32%35% to 67% chance
Tue±1°17° to 17°±25%19% to 44% chance
Wed±3°18° to 21°±13%81% to 94% chance
Thu±4°18° to 22°±19%75% to 94% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Alma

today, local time
Sunrise
06:11
Sunset
19:18
Daylight
13h 7m

Common questions

What's the weather in Alma today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Alma today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Alma today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Alma and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Alma?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Alma (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 70. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Alma?
July is typically the warmest month in Alma, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Alma get?
The coldest month in Alma is February, when overnight lows average about -16°C.
How much rain does Alma get?
Alma sees roughly 1138 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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