Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 11° in Saint-Felicien today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 15°, with a 37% chance of rain.
Saint-Felicien swings 42°C across the year, from 23°C highs in July to -19°C lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 885 mm of precipitation.
Warmest month
July
23°C average high
Coldest month
January
-19°C average low
Wettest month
July
885 mm a year
Below freezing
6 months
January, February, March, April, November and December
Comfortable
3 months
June, August and September
Residents
10,000
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The weather map: all three models at once
Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Saint-Felicien and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Saint-Felicien hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
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Saint-Felicien 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
11°-2°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
15°1°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
12°0°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
4°-2°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
6°-4°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
11°3°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
9°0°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
7°-1°
±5°
Sun
Cloudy
12°-1°
±8°
Mon
Light drizzle
11°6°
±7°
Tue
Drizzle
10°3°
±7°
Wed
Partly cloudy
6°-1°
±7°
Thu
Light drizzle
6°-1°
±7°
Fri
Drizzle
4°-1°
±3°
Saint-Felicien, Quebec is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -19°C), with roughly 885 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Saint-Felicien right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-10°
-19°
Feb
-8°
-19°
Mar
-3°
-13°
Apr
7°
-4°
May
15°
4°
Jun
21°
12°
Jul
23°
15°
Aug
23°
14°
Sep
18°
10°
Oct
10°
3°
Nov
1°
-4°
Dec
-5°
-13°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Saint-Felicien's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.7°C
Around Saint-Felicien, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.7°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Days above 25°C
7 more days a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Frost nights
8 fewer nights a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
no clear change
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Days >25°C vs avg
Frost nights vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
−0.8°C
+10
−3
−4%
1996
−0.7°C
−8
+15
−1%
1997
−1.7°C
−6
+11
−4%
1998
+1.0°C
−6
−13
−1%
1999
+0.6°C
+4
+8
+2%
2000
−0.7°C
−13
+7
+2%
2001
+0.7°C
+2
−5
−1%
2002
−0.6°C
−1
+22
+2%
2003
−0.9°C
+3
+8
−4%
2004
−1.6°C
−13
+13
+2%
2005
+0.5°C
+11
−5
+2%
2006
+1.1°C
+0
−11
−1%
2007
−0.4°C
−2
−3
+6%
2008
−0.2°C
−11
−10
−1%
2009
−0.5°C
−9
+12
−1%
2010
+1.3°C
+4
+0
−1%
2011
+0.2°C
−6
−11
−1%
2012
+1.0°C
−1
−8
−1%
2013
−0.2°C
−3
−7
+2%
2014
−0.7°C
−4
+1
+2%
2015
−0.7°C
−1
−2
+2%
2016
−0.2°C
−3
+0
−1%
2017
−0.2°C
−13
−8
−1%
2018
−0.6°C
+14
+18
+2%
2019
−1.2°C
−2
−4
+2%
2020
+0.2°C
+12
+13
+2%
2021
+1.7°C
+9
−10
−1%
2022
+0.1°C
−2
−7
+2%
2023
+1.2°C
+6
−11
−10%
2024
+2.3°C
+15
−10
−1%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Saint-Felicien, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Saint-Felicien?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
EC
Env. Canada ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
83±0.9°C
89±5.6 km/h
100100% hit
Environment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
European
90
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C
94±3.2 km/h
8994% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American
89
/100rank #3
81±1.0°C
93±3.3 km/h
9597% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
Env. CanadaGEM model
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separately
Day
Temperature
Rain
Today
±1°11° to 12°
models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow
±2°14° to 16°
±37%0% to 37% chance
Mon
±1°12° to 13°
±16%3% to 19% chance
Tue
±1°4° to 5°
models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed
±1°6° to 7°
±14%0% to 14% chance
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.
Sunrise and sunset in Saint-Felicien
today, local time
Sunrise
07:23
Sunset
17:43
Daylight
10h 20m
Common questions
What's the weather in Saint-Felicien today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 11° in Saint-Felicien today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 15°, with a 37% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Saint-Felicien today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Saint-Felicien on Sunday, October 25: Env. Canada 0%, European 37%, American 14%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Saint-Felicien?
Over the last 30 days, the Env. Canada model has been the most accurate for Saint-Felicien (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the European at 90. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Saint-Felicien?
July is typically the warmest month in Saint-Felicien, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Saint-Felicien get?
The coldest month in Saint-Felicien is January, when overnight lows average about -19°C.
How much rain does Saint-Felicien get?
Saint-Felicien sees roughly 885 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.
Is Saint-Felicien getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Saint-Felicien, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.7°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
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