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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Sainte-Marie weather

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Clear,warmer tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 11° in Sainte-Marie today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 14°, with a 0% chance of rain.

11°-1°
14°1°
11°1°
5°-3°
6°-4°
12°-1°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
12°
Clear
Today 12°·Low -2°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
11°
Mostly clear
Today 11°·Low -1°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
10°
Clear
Today 10°·Low -2°·Rain 0%
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Sainte-Marie weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Sainte-Marie swings 39°C across the year, from 24°C highs in July to -15°C lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1148 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
24°C average high
Coldest month
January
-15°C average low
Wettest month
July
1148 mm a year
Below freezing
6 months
January, February, March, April, November and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
14,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Sainte-Marie and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Sainte-Marie hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Sainte-Marie 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
11° -1°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
14° 1°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
11° 1°
models agree
Tue
Clear
5° -3°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
6° -4°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
12° -1°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
11° 3°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
8° 0°
±5°
Sun
Cloudy
14° 0°
±8°
Mon
Drizzle
14° 4°
±9°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
13° 3°
±5°
Wed
Drizzle
8° 1°
±8°
Thu
Light drizzle
5° -1°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
4° -4°
±7°

Sainte-Marie, Quebec is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -15°C), with roughly 1148 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Sainte-Marie right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Sainte-Marie climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-7°
-15°
Feb
-3°
-15°
Mar
0°
-9°
Apr
10°
-1°
May
17°
6°
Jun
21°
12°
Jul
24°
15°
Aug
23°
14°
Sep
19°
10°
Oct
11°
3°
Nov
3°
-3°
Dec
-4°
-12°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Sainte-Marie has changed since 1995

Sainte-Marie sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Saint-Augustin-de-Desmaures. That square ran 0.9°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Saint-Augustin-de-Desmaures page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Sainte-Marie?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C97±1.5 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
87
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C92±4.1 km/h8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
85
/100rank #3
90±0.6°C96±2.0 km/h7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°10° to 12°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°13° to 14°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±1°10° to 12°±26%13% to 39% chance
Tue±2°4° to 5°±5%0% to 5% chance
Wed±1°5° to 6°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Sainte-Marie

today, local time
Sunrise
07:14
Sunset
17:41
Daylight
10h 27m

Common questions

What's the weather in Sainte-Marie today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 11° in Sainte-Marie today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 14°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Sainte-Marie today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Sainte-Marie on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Sainte-Marie?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Sainte-Marie (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Sainte-Marie?
July is typically the warmest month in Sainte-Marie, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Sainte-Marie get?
The coldest month in Sainte-Marie is January, when overnight lows average about -15°C.
How much rain does Sainte-Marie get?
Sainte-Marie sees roughly 1148 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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