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CheckWeather CASainte-Marie
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Sainte-Marie weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Sainte-Marie's high today between 19° and 22°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 22°, with a 18% chance of rain.

20°
22°10°
18°
20°
21°14°
16°10°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
22°
Cloudy
Today 22°·Low ·Rain 35%
EuropeanECMWF
19°
Drizzle
Today 19°·Low 10°·Rain 52%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Cloudy
Today 19°·Low ·Rain 3%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Sainte-Marie and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
20°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
22° 10°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
18°
models agree
Wed
Showers
20°
±4°
Thu
Showers
21° 14°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
16° 10°
±3°
Sat
Cloudy
21°
±7°
Sun
Showers
23° 13°
±10°
Mon
Light drizzle
18° 10°
±6°
Tue
Rain
16° 11°
±3°
Wed
Partly cloudy
19° 10°
±3°
Thu
Partly cloudy
18°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
16°
±2°

Sainte-Marie is a small town of about 14,000 people in Quebec, sitting at 46.4°N in a temperate climate zone. Env. Canada, European, American each forecast Sainte-Marie with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Saint-Joseph-de-Beauce, Saint-Henri, Beauceville.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Sainte-Marie?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C98±1.1 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
76
/100rank #2
76±1.3°C93±3.7 km/t6581% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
59
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C95±2.6 km/t548% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°19° to 22°±49%3% to 52% chance
Tomorrow±1°21° to 23°±12%6% to 18% chance
Tue±1°18° to 19°±19%11% to 30% chance
Wed±4°18° to 21°±11%81% to 92% chance
Thu±3°20° to 23°±2%90% to 92% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Sainte-Marie

today, local time
Sunrise
06:11
Sunset
19:13
Daylight
13h 2m

Common questions

What's the weather in Sainte-Marie today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Sainte-Marie today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Sainte-Marie today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Sainte-Marie and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Sainte-Marie?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Sainte-Marie (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More CA weather