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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Sainte-Foy weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Sainte-Foy's high today between 9° and 12°, a 2° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 12°, with a 4% chance of rain.

11°-2°
12°0°
11°3°
6°-1°
6°-3°
10°-1°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
-2°
Clear
Feels -5° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 93%
EuropeanECMWF
-1°
Mainly clear
Feels -4° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 92%
AmericanNOAA GFS
-2°
Fog
Feels -5° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 99%

Latest for Sainte-Foy: Env. Canada (GEM model): -2° Clear · European (ECMWF): -1° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): -2° Fog.

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Sainte-Foy weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Sainte-Foy swings 40°C across the year, from 24°C highs in July to -16°C lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1216 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 47 days a year at 25°C or above, 5 of them at 30°C or above, 162 frost nights, and rain on 154 days.

Warmest month
July
24°C average high
Coldest month
January
-16°C average low
Wettest month
July
1216 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
111,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
97/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
47 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
162 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
154 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Sainte-Foy’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Sainte-Foy and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Sainte-Foy hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Sainte-Foy 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
11° -2°
±2°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
12° 0°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
11° 3°
models agree
Tue
Clear
6° -1°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
6° -3°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
10° -1°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
11° 3°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
8° 1°
±5°
Sun
Cloudy
11° 1°
±8°
Mon
Light rain
13° 3°
±11°
Tue
Rain
12° 4°
±5°
Wed
Drizzle
9° 1°
±7°
Thu
Drizzle
4° 0°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
4° -2°
±6°

Sainte-Foy, Quebec is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -16°C), with roughly 1216 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Sainte-Foy right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Sainte-Foy climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-8°
-16°
Feb
-5°
-16°
Mar
-1°
-10°
Apr
8°
-2°
May
18°
6°
Jun
22°
12°
Jul
24°
15°
Aug
23°
14°
Sep
19°
10°
Oct
12°
3°
Nov
3°
-3°
Dec
-4°
-11°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Sainte-Foy has changed since 1995

Sainte-Foy sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Quebec. That square ran 0.8°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Quebec page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Sainte-Foy?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C98±1.1 km/h100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
88
/100rank #2
82±1.0°C97±1.5 km/h8994% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
82
/100rank #3
78±1.2°C95±2.5 km/h7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°9° to 12°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°11° to 13°±4%0% to 4% chance
Mon±1°11° to 12°±47%14% to 61% chance
Tue±2°5° to 7°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±3°5° to 8°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Sainte-Foy

today, local time
Sunrise
07:15
Sunset
17:42
Daylight
10h 27m

Common questions

What's the weather in Sainte-Foy today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Sainte-Foy's high today between 9° and 12°, a 2° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 12°, with a 4% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Sainte-Foy today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Sainte-Foy on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 4% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 4%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Sainte-Foy?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Sainte-Foy (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Sainte-Foy?
July is typically the warmest month in Sainte-Foy, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Sainte-Foy get?
The coldest month in Sainte-Foy is January, when overnight lows average about -16°C.
How much rain does Sainte-Foy get?
Sainte-Foy sees roughly 1216 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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