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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CAQuebec
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Quebec weather

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Partly cloudy,warmer tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 21° in Quebec today. Tomorrow looks clear around 24°, with a 10% chance of rain.

21°10°
24°11°
20°11°
20°
21°14°
17°11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±2°Tuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±4°Fridaysplit ±4°
Env. CanadaGEM model
22°
Partly cloudy
Today 22°·Low 12°·Rain 6%
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Light drizzle
Today 21°·Low 10°·Rain 33%
AmericanNOAA GFS
20°
Cloudy
Today 20°·Low 10°·Rain 3%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Quebec and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
21° 10°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
24° 11°
±2°
Tue
Cloudy
20° 11°
±4°
Wed
Showers
20°
±3°
Thu
Showers
21° 14°
±4°
Fri
Partly cloudy
17° 11°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
20° 10°
±4°
Sun
Light rain
22° 12°
±7°
Mon
Cloudy
19° 12°
±5°
Tue
Light rain
17° 12°
±4°
Wed
Partly cloudy
18° 11°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
18° 10°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
16°
models agree
Sat
Heavy drizzle
16°
±4°

Quebec, Quebec. Below we compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Quebec right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Quebec's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Quebec weather by month

what to expect in Quebec through the year

Here is Quebec's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Quebec by season.

Jan
-4°
-12°
Cold
Feb
-3°
-14°
Cold
Mar
-6°
Cold
Apr
10°
Cool
May
19°
Mild
Jun
23°
13°
Warm
Jul
26°
17°
Warm
Wettest
Aug
23°
14°
Warm
Sep
21°
12°
Mild
Oct
15°
Mild
Nov
-2°
Cold
Dec
-2°
-9°
Cold

What Quebec's weather is like through the year

Quebec runs from warm summers, with July highs near 26°C, to cold winters, when February lows sit around -14°C (a swing of about 40°C across the year). July is usually the wettest month, and Quebec sees roughly 1347 mm of precipitation annually. Overnight lows stay below freezing across 5 months (January, February, March, November and December), so Quebec sees regular winter snowfall.

Best time to visit Quebec

The most comfortable time to visit Quebec is usually May, June, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest July rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Quebec?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C98±0.9 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
86
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C90±5.1 km/t8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
79
/100rank #3
88±0.7°C94±2.9 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Quebec, scoring 95/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the Env. Canada at 86. See the full CA accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°20° to 22°±30%3% to 33% chance
Tomorrow±2°22° to 25°±7%3% to 10% chance
Tue±4°18° to 22°±19%5% to 24% chance
Wed±3°18° to 21°±7%86% to 93% chance
Thu±4°20° to 23°±11%84% to 95% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Quebec

today, local time
Sunrise
06:11
Sunset
19:14
Daylight
13h 3m

Common questions

What's the weather in Quebec today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Quebec today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Quebec today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Quebec and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Quebec?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Quebec (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Quebec?
July is typically the warmest month in Quebec, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Quebec get?
The coldest month in Quebec is February, when overnight lows average about -14°C.
How much rain does Quebec get?
Quebec sees roughly 1347 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Quebec?
The most comfortable time to visit Quebec is usually May, June, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest July rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Quebec?
Yes - overnight lows fall below freezing across 5 months (January, February, March, November and December) in Quebec, so winter snowfall is common.

Nearby

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