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CheckWeather CAThetford-Mines
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Thetford-Mines weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Thetford-Mines's high today between 18° and 21°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks clear around 21°, with a 12% chance of rain.

19°10°
21°10°
18°10°
19°
21°13°
15°10°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±5°Fridaysplit ±4°
Env. CanadaGEM model
14°
Clear
Feels 12° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 53%
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Clear
Feels 13° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 83%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Clear
Feels 14° · Wind 3 km/h · Humidity 68%

Latest for Thetford-Mines: Env. Canada (GEM model): 14° Clear · European (ECMWF): 14° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 14° Clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Thetford-Mines and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
19° 10°
±3°
Tomorrow
Clear
21° 10°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
18° 10°
models agree
Wed
Heavy drizzle
19°
±4°
Thu
Showers
21° 13°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
15° 10°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
20°
±6°
Sun
Showers
22° 12°
±11°
Mon
Light drizzle
17°
±8°
Tue
Light rain
16° 11°
±4°
Wed
Mostly clear
19° 10°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
18°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
16°
models agree
Sat
Heavy drizzle
16°
models agree

Thetford-Mines, Quebec is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -14°C), with roughly 1296 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Thetford-Mines right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Thetford-Mines climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-4°
-12°
Feb
-3°
-14°
Mar
-7°
Apr
10°
-1°
May
17°
Jun
21°
12°
Jul
24°
16°
Aug
21°
13°
Sep
20°
11°
Oct
13°
Nov
-3°
Dec
-2°
-10°

Which forecast is most accurate in Thetford-Mines?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
84±0.9°C97±1.5 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
74
/100rank #2
53±2.6°C96±2.0 km/t8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
63
/100rank #3
81±1.0°C96±1.9 km/t1855% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°18° to 21°±50%20% to 70% chance
Tomorrow±2°20° to 22°±7%5% to 12% chance
Tuemodels agree18° to 19°±17%12% to 29% chance
Wed±4°17° to 21°±6%86% to 92% chance
Thu±5°18° to 23°±4%91% to 95% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Thetford-Mines

today, local time
Sunrise
06:12
Sunset
19:14
Daylight
13h 2m

Common questions

What's the weather in Thetford-Mines today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Thetford-Mines today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Thetford-Mines today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Thetford-Mines and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Thetford-Mines?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Thetford-Mines (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 74. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Thetford-Mines?
July is typically the warmest month in Thetford-Mines, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Thetford-Mines get?
The coldest month in Thetford-Mines is February, when overnight lows average about -14°C.
How much rain does Thetford-Mines get?
Thetford-Mines sees roughly 1296 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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