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Lake Louise weather

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Env. CanadaGEM model
-2°
Clear
Feels -6° · Wind 3 km/h · Humidity 60%
EuropeanECMWF
-4°
Mainly clear
Feels -7° · Wind 1 km/h · Humidity 78%
AmericanNOAA GFS
-1°
Clear
Feels -5° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 59%

Latest for Lake Louise: Env. Canada (GEM model): -2° Clear · European (ECMWF): -4° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): -1° Clear.

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Lake Louise weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Lake Louise swings 35°C across the year, from 20°C highs in July to -15°C lows in December, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 732 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
20°C average high
Coldest month
December
-15°C average low
Wettest month
June
732 mm a year
Below freezing
8 months
January, February, March, April, May, October, November and December
Comfortable
2 months
July and August
Residents
1,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Lake Louise and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Lake Louise hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Lake Louise 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Lake Louise, Alberta is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 20°C) and coldest in Dec (lows around -15°C), with roughly 732 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Lake Louise right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Lake Louise climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-6°
-13°
Feb
-5°
-14°
Mar
0°
-12°
Apr
4°
-6°
May
9°
-2°
Jun
13°
3°
Jul
20°
7°
Aug
18°
6°
Sep
13°
3°
Oct
5°
-4°
Nov
-2°
-11°
Dec
-7°
-15°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Lake Louise's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.4°C

Around Lake Louise, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.4°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

1995: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average1996: −1.9°C vs the 30-year average1997: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average1998: +1.3°C vs the 30-year average1999: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2001: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2002: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2003: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2004: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2005: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2006: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2007: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average2009: −0.9°C vs the 30-year average2010: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2011: −1.0°C vs the 30-year average2012: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2013: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2014: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2015: +1.1°C vs the 30-year average2016: +0.7°C vs the 30-year average2017: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2018: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2019: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2020: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2021: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2022: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2023: +1.6°C vs the 30-year average2024: +0.9°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Frost nights

16 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +0 vs the 30-year average1996: +26 vs the 30-year average1997: −3 vs the 30-year average1998: −28 vs the 30-year average1999: +21 vs the 30-year average2000: +26 vs the 30-year average2001: +2 vs the 30-year average2002: +15 vs the 30-year average2003: −6 vs the 30-year average2004: +3 vs the 30-year average2005: +5 vs the 30-year average2006: −12 vs the 30-year average2007: +11 vs the 30-year average2008: +11 vs the 30-year average2009: +0 vs the 30-year average2010: +24 vs the 30-year average2011: +3 vs the 30-year average2012: +4 vs the 30-year average2013: −4 vs the 30-year average2014: −7 vs the 30-year average2015: −9 vs the 30-year average2016: −4 vs the 30-year average2017: −7 vs the 30-year average2018: −1 vs the 30-year average2019: −9 vs the 30-year average2020: −7 vs the 30-year average2021: −1 vs the 30-year average2022: −28 vs the 30-year average2023: −30 vs the 30-year average2024: −4 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

+2%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −5% vs the 30-year average1996: −0% vs the 30-year average1997: +5% vs the 30-year average1998: −11% vs the 30-year average1999: +5% vs the 30-year average2000: −5% vs the 30-year average2001: +5% vs the 30-year average2002: −0% vs the 30-year average2003: −0% vs the 30-year average2004: −5% vs the 30-year average2005: −0% vs the 30-year average2006: −5% vs the 30-year average2007: +5% vs the 30-year average2008: −0% vs the 30-year average2009: −0% vs the 30-year average2010: −5% vs the 30-year average2011: +10% vs the 30-year average2012: −0% vs the 30-year average2013: −0% vs the 30-year average2014: −0% vs the 30-year average2015: −0% vs the 30-year average2016: −5% vs the 30-year average2017: +5% vs the 30-year average2018: −0% vs the 30-year average2019: −0% vs the 30-year average2020: +10% vs the 30-year average2021: +5% vs the 30-year average2022: +5% vs the 30-year average2023: −5% vs the 30-year average2024: −5% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995+0.3°C+0−5%
1996−1.9°C+26−0%
1997+0.2°C−3+5%
1998+1.3°C−28−11%
1999±0.0°C+21+5%
2000−0.6°C+26−5%
2001±0.0°C+2+5%
2002−0.5°C+15−0%
2003+0.3°C−6−0%
2004+0.5°C+3−5%
2005±0.0°C+5−0%
2006+0.5°C−12−5%
2007−0.1°C+11+5%
2008−0.8°C+11−0%
2009−0.9°C+0−0%
2010−0.2°C+24−5%
2011−1.0°C+3+10%
2012−0.2°C+4−0%
2013+0.1°C−4−0%
2014−0.2°C−7−0%
2015+1.1°C−9−0%
2016+0.7°C−4−5%
2017−0.3°C−7+5%
2018±0.0°C−1−0%
2019−0.4°C−9−0%
2020−0.3°C−7+10%
2021+0.2°C−1+5%
2022+0.2°C−28+5%
2023+1.6°C−30−5%
2024+0.9°C−4−5%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Lake Louise, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Lake Louise?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C98±0.8 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
82
/100rank #2
80±1.1°C94±3.0 km/h7687% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
74
/100rank #3
85±0.8°C78±11.2 km/h5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Lake Louise today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Lake Louise today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Lake Louise today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Lake Louise and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lake Louise?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Lake Louise (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Lake Louise?
July is typically the warmest month in Lake Louise, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Lake Louise get?
The coldest month in Lake Louise is December, when overnight lows average about -15°C.
How much rain does Lake Louise get?
Lake Louise sees roughly 732 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.
Is Lake Louise getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Lake Louise, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.4°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

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