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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CABearspaw
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Bearspaw weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Bearspaw's high today between 10° and 13°, a 2° split. Tomorrow looks rain around 13°, with a 78% chance of rain.

11°
13°
13°10°
19°
23°
18°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±12°
Env. CanadaGEM model
13°
Light drizzle
Today 13°·Low ·Rain 73%
EuropeanECMWF
11°
Light drizzle
Today 11°·Low ·Rain 98%
AmericanNOAA GFS
10°
Light drizzle
Today 10°·Low ·Rain 37%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Bearspaw and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
11°
±2°
Tomorrow
Rain
13°
models agree
Mon
Showers
13° 10°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
19°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
23°
±3°
Thu
Drizzle
18°
±12°
Fri
Heavy drizzle
11°
±8°
Sat
Heavy drizzle
11°
±2°
Sun
Clear
20°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
20°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
18°
±6°
Wed
Light drizzle
18°
±7°
Thu
Cloudy
19°
±4°
Fri
Drizzle
14°
±6°

Bearspaw, Alberta is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -12°C), with roughly 501 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Bearspaw right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Bearspaw climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-3°
-12°
Feb
-11°
Mar
-12°
Apr
-3°
May
18°
Jun
20°
Jul
25°
11°
Aug
23°
10°
Sep
19°
Oct
11°
Nov
-6°
Dec
-7°

Which forecast is most accurate in Bearspaw?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C96±1.8 km/t100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
80
/100rank #2
81±1.0°C92±3.9 km/t7184% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
77
/100rank #3
77±1.3°C92±4.0 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°10° to 13°±61%37% to 98% chance
Tomorrow±1°13° to 13°±27%51% to 78% chance
Mon±2°12° to 14°±21%56% to 77% chance
Tue±4°17° to 22°±12%43% to 55% chance
Wed±3°22° to 24°±4%0% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Bearspaw

today, local time
Sunrise
06:57
Sunset
20:14
Daylight
13h 17m

Common questions

What's the weather in Bearspaw today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Bearspaw today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Bearspaw today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Bearspaw and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bearspaw?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Bearspaw (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Bearspaw?
July is typically the warmest month in Bearspaw, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Bearspaw get?
The coldest month in Bearspaw is January, when overnight lows average about -12°C.
How much rain does Bearspaw get?
Bearspaw sees roughly 501 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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