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CheckWeather CARoyal Oak
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°C

Royal Oak weather

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Showers,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 12° in Royal Oak today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 19°, with a 76% chance of rain.

12°
19°
21°
14°
10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±4°Saturdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
11°
Mainly clear
Feels 9° · Wind 13 km/h · Humidity 93%
EuropeanECMWF
10°
Light drizzle
Feels 8° · Wind 14 km/h · Humidity 97%
AmericanNOAA GFS
10°
Overcast
Feels 7° · Wind 17 km/h · Humidity 84%

Latest for Royal Oak: Env. Canada (GEM model): 11° Mainly clear · European (ECMWF): 10° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 10° Overcast.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Royal Oak and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
19°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
21°
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
14°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
10°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
14°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
16°
±5°
Tue
Light rain
models agree
Wed
Clear
-1°
±8°
Thu
Drizzle
11°
±8°
Fri
Cloudy
16°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
17°
±9°
Sun
Drizzle
14°
±7°

Royal Oak is a small town of about 12,000 people in Alberta, sitting at 51.1°N in a temperate climate zone. Env. Canada, European, American each forecast Royal Oak with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Rocky Ridge, Arbour Lake, Tuscany.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Royal Oak?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
87±0.7°C96±1.9 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
84
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C93±3.3 km/t7184% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
78
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C88±6.1 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree12° to 12°±62%38% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°18° to 19°±69%7% to 76% chance
Wed±2°21° to 23°±3%0% to 3% chance
Thu±1°13° to 15°±26%66% to 92% chance
Fri±4°8° to 11°±18%43% to 61% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Royal Oak

today, local time
Sunrise
07:00
Sunset
20:09
Daylight
13h 9m

Common questions

What's the weather in Royal Oak today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Royal Oak today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Royal Oak today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Royal Oak and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Royal Oak?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Royal Oak (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More CA weather