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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Cochrane weather

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Partly cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Cochrane's high today between 1° and 3°, a 2° split. Tomorrow: light snow, around 0°, with a 77% chance of rain.

2°-5°
0°-4°
3°-6°
5°-4°
0°-5°
0°-6°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±6°
Env. CanadaGEM model
-5°
Mainly clear
Feels -9° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 70%
EuropeanECMWF
-5°
Overcast
Feels -9° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 82%
AmericanNOAA GFS
-5°
Overcast
Feels -9° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 68%

Latest for Cochrane: Env. Canada (GEM model): -5° Mainly clear · European (ECMWF): -5° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): -5° Overcast.

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Cochrane weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Cochrane swings 34°C across the year, from 22°C highs in July to -12°C lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 444 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 26 days a year at 25°C or above, 3 of them at 30°C or above, 197 frost nights, and rain on 103 days.

Warmest month
July
22°C average high
Coldest month
January
-12°C average low
Wettest month
June
444 mm a year
Comfortable
3 months
July, August and September
Residents
32,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
96/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
26 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
197 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
103 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Cochrane’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Cochrane and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Cochrane hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Cochrane 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
2° -5°
±2°
Tomorrow
Light snow
0° -4°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
3° -6°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
5° -4°
models agree
Wed
Snow
0° -5°
±4°
Thu
Snow
0° -6°
±6°
Fri
Light snow
0° -7°
±9°
Sat
Cloudy
3° -8°
±6°
Sun
Cloudy
7° -5°
±6°
Mon
Cloudy
6° -2°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
8° -2°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
9° -1°
±9°
Thu
Cloudy
10° 1°
±9°

Cochrane, Alberta is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -12°C), with roughly 444 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Cochrane right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Cochrane climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-4°
-12°
Feb
-1°
-11°
Mar
3°
-9°
Apr
9°
-3°
May
15°
1°
Jun
19°
5°
Jul
22°
9°
Aug
22°
9°
Sep
17°
4°
Oct
10°
-1°
Nov
2°
-6°
Dec
-4°
-11°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Cochrane has changed since 1995

Cochrane sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Calgary. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Calgary page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Cochrane?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C97±1.3 km/h100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
85
/100rank #2
82±1.0°C94±3.2 km/h8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
79
/100rank #3
75±1.4°C91±4.3 km/h7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°1° to 3°±25%20% to 45% chance
Tomorrow±2°-1° to 1°±32%45% to 77% chance
Mon±3°1° to 4°±15%4% to 19% chance
Tue±2°4° to 6°±31%12% to 43% chance
Wed±4°-2° to 2°±13%38% to 51% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Cochrane

today, local time
Sunrise
08:17
Sunset
18:26
Daylight
10h 9m

Common questions

What's the weather in Cochrane today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Cochrane's high today between 1° and 3°, a 2° split. Tomorrow: light snow, around 0°, with a 77% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Cochrane today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Cochrane on Sunday, October 25: Env. Canada 77%, European 45%, American 52%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 45%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Cochrane?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Cochrane (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Cochrane?
July is typically the warmest month in Cochrane, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Cochrane get?
The coldest month in Cochrane is January, when overnight lows average about -12°C.
How much rain does Cochrane get?
Cochrane sees roughly 444 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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