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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CACanmore
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Canmore weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Canmore's high today between 10° and 12°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 15°, with a 98% chance of rain.

11°
15°
15°
18°
20°
16°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±10°
Env. CanadaGEM model
12°
Cloudy
Today 12°·Low ·Rain 95%
EuropeanECMWF
10°
Drizzle
Today 10°·Low ·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
10°
Light drizzle
Today 10°·Low ·Rain 55%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Canmore and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
11°
±3°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
15°
±3°
Mon
Showers
15°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
18°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
20°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
16°
±10°
Fri
Drizzle
11°
±7°
Sat
Heavy drizzle
11°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
17°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
20°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
20°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
19°
±5°
Thu
Drizzle
19°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
14°
±5°

Canmore is a small town of about 14,000 people in Alberta, sitting at 51.1°N in a temperate climate zone. Env. Canada, European, American each forecast Canmore with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Banff, Cochrane, Bearspaw.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Canmore?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C99±0.7 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
73
/100rank #2
77±1.3°C94±3.2 km/t5374% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
66
/100rank #3
69±1.7°C88±6.0 km/t4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°10° to 12°±45%55% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±3°14° to 17°±62%36% to 98% chance
Mon±2°14° to 16°±34%60% to 94% chance
Tue±2°17° to 19°±11%60% to 71% chance
Wed±2°19° to 21°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Canmore

today, local time
Sunrise
07:01
Sunset
20:18
Daylight
13h 17m

Common questions

What's the weather in Canmore today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Canmore today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Canmore today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Canmore and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Canmore?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Canmore (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 73. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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