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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CAGoderich
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Goderich weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Goderich's high today between 23° and 26°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 23°, with a 4% chance of rain.

24°14°
23°13°
24°14°
23°19°
22°15°
20°13°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
26°
Clear
Today 26°·Low 13°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
23°
Partly cloudy
Today 23°·Low 15°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
23°
Mostly clear
Today 23°·Low 14°·Rain 1%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Goderich and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
24° 14°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
23° 13°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
24° 14°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
23° 19°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
22° 15°
±3°
Fri
Mostly clear
20° 13°
±3°
Sat
Showers
23° 16°
±5°
Sun
Drizzle
22° 12°
±11°
Mon
Clear
18° 11°
±4°
Tue
Mostly clear
19° 12°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
19° 10°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
20° 10°
±2°
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 10°
models agree
Sat
Heavy drizzle
19° 13°
models agree

Goderich, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -4°C), with roughly 1123 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Goderich right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Goderich climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-3°
Feb
-4°
Mar
-2°
Apr
12°
May
18°
Jun
22°
15°
Jul
24°
18°
Aug
23°
17°
Sep
22°
15°
Oct
15°
10°
Nov
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Goderich?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
EC
Env. Canada ★ Best
77
/100rank #1
77±1.3°C93±3.6 km/t6581% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
75
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C95±2.6 km/t4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
73
/100rank #3
78±1.2°C92±3.9 km/t5374% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°23° to 26°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±2°23° to 25°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tue±3°22° to 25°±12%0% to 12% chance
Wed±3°22° to 25°±43%48% to 91% chance
Thu±3°21° to 24°±16%8% to 24% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Goderich

today, local time
Sunrise
06:56
Sunset
19:53
Daylight
12h 57m

Common questions

What's the weather in Goderich today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Goderich today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Goderich today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Goderich and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Goderich?
Over the last 30 days, the Env. Canada model has been the most accurate for Goderich (CheckWeather Score 77/100), ahead of the American at 75. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Goderich?
July is typically the warmest month in Goderich, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Goderich get?
The coldest month in Goderich is February, when overnight lows average about -4°C.
How much rain does Goderich get?
Goderich sees roughly 1123 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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