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Grand Bend weather

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Env. CanadaGEM model
16°
Clear
Feels 14° · Wind 16 km/h · Humidity 87%
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Clear
Feels 16° · Wind 17 km/h · Humidity 77%
AmericanNOAA GFS
16°
Clear
Feels 15° · Wind 15 km/h · Humidity 79%

Latest for Grand Bend: Env. Canada (GEM model): 16° Clear · European (ECMWF): 17° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 16° Clear.

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Grand Bend weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Grand Bend swings 30°C across the year, from 23°C highs in July to -7°C lows in February, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1099 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
23°C average high
Coldest month
February
-7°C average low
Wettest month
November
1099 mm a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Grand Bend and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Grand Bend hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Grand Bend 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Grand Bend, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -7°C), with roughly 1099 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Grand Bend right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Grand Bend climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-2°
-6°
Feb
1°
-7°
Mar
4°
-3°
Apr
11°
2°
May
17°
8°
Jun
22°
14°
Jul
23°
16°
Aug
23°
17°
Sep
20°
13°
Oct
14°
7°
Nov
7°
2°
Dec
2°
-2°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Grand Bend has changed since 1995

Grand Bend sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Goderich. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Goderich page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Canada?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C96±1.8 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
86
/100rank #2
84±0.9°C94±2.9 km/h8491% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
84
/100rank #3
83±0.9°C94±3.2 km/h7888% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Grand Bend today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Grand Bend today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Grand Bend today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Grand Bend and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Grand Bend?
No single model is always right. Env. Canada, European, American each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Grand Bend forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested CA accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Grand Bend?
July is typically the warmest month in Grand Bend, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Grand Bend get?
The coldest month in Grand Bend is February, when overnight lows average about -7°C.
How much rain does Grand Bend get?
Grand Bend sees roughly 1099 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

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