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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Bluewater weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 17° in Bluewater today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 18°, with a 2% chance of rain.

17°3°
18°6°
14°6°
12°3°
16°5°
18°9°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±4°
Env. CanadaGEM model
8°
Clear
Feels 6° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 67%
EuropeanECMWF
8°
Clear
Feels 6° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 72%
AmericanNOAA GFS
9°
Clear
Feels 6° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 62%

Latest for Bluewater: Env. Canada (GEM model): 8° Clear · European (ECMWF): 8° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 9° Clear.

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Bluewater weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Bluewater swings 31°C across the year, from 24°C highs in July to -7°C lows in January, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1127 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
24°C average high
Coldest month
January
-7°C average low
Wettest month
November
1127 mm a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
7,044
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Bluewater and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Bluewater hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Bluewater 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
17° 3°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
18° 6°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
14° 6°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
12° 3°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
16° 5°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
18° 9°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
15° 7°
±2°
Sat
Cloudy
19° 9°
models agree
Sun
Showers
19° 12°
±3°
Mon
Light snow
14° 6°
±3°
Tue
Light snow
8° 3°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
7° 1°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
10° 4°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
10° 3°
±4°

Bluewater, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -7°C), with roughly 1127 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Bluewater right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Bluewater climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-2°
-7°
Feb
1°
-7°
Mar
4°
-4°
Apr
11°
2°
May
18°
8°
Jun
22°
13°
Jul
24°
16°
Aug
23°
16°
Sep
21°
12°
Oct
14°
6°
Nov
6°
1°
Dec
2°
-3°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Bluewater has changed since 1995

Bluewater sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Goderich. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Goderich page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Bluewater?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
EC
Env. Canada ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
85±0.8°C93±3.4 km/h8994% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
European logo
European
88
/100rank #2
90±0.5°C94±3.0 km/h8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
85
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C95±2.4 km/h7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°16° to 18°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°18° to 18°±2%0% to 2% chance
Mon±2°14° to 16°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tue±1°11° to 12°±5%0% to 5% chance
Wed±5°14° to 19°±2%6% to 8% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Bluewater

today, local time
Sunrise
07:51
Sunset
18:28
Daylight
10h 37m

Common questions

What's the weather in Bluewater today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 17° in Bluewater today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 18°, with a 2% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Bluewater today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Bluewater on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 2% (Env. Canada 0%, European 2%, American 1%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bluewater?
Over the last 30 days, the Env. Canada model has been the most accurate for Bluewater (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the European at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Bluewater?
July is typically the warmest month in Bluewater, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Bluewater get?
The coldest month in Bluewater is January, when overnight lows average about -7°C.
How much rain does Bluewater get?
Bluewater sees roughly 1127 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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