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CheckWeather CAFort Erie
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Fort Erie weather

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Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Fort Erie's high today between 22° and 25°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 24°, with a 1% chance of rain.

24°15°
24°13°
25°15°
25°19°
24°17°
21°14°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±4°
Env. CanadaGEM model
25°
Partly cloudy
Today 25°·Low 16°·Rain 5%
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Light drizzle
Today 22°·Low 16°·Rain 43%
AmericanNOAA GFS
24°
Cloudy
Today 24°·Low 14°·Rain 1%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Fort Erie and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
24° 15°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
24° 13°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
25° 15°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
25° 19°
±3°
Thu
Drizzle
24° 17°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
21° 14°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
25° 16°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
25° 17°
±11°
Mon
Cloudy
22° 14°
±12°
Tue
Clear
21° 16°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
20° 13°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
21° 14°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 13°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
23° 15°
±3°

Fort Erie, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -3°C), with roughly 1166 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Fort Erie right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Fort Erie climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-3°
Feb
-3°
Mar
-1°
Apr
14°
May
20°
10°
Jun
24°
15°
Jul
26°
18°
Aug
24°
17°
Sep
23°
15°
Oct
16°
Nov
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Fort Erie?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C96±1.9 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
78
/100rank #2
85±0.8°C94±2.8 km/t5877% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
68
/100rank #3
78±1.2°C95±2.7 km/t3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°22° to 25°±42%1% to 43% chance
Tomorrow±2°23° to 25°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tue±3°24° to 26°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±3°23° to 26°±17%50% to 67% chance
Thu±1°23° to 24°±30%29% to 59% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Fort Erie

today, local time
Sunrise
06:46
Sunset
19:42
Daylight
12h 56m

Common questions

What's the weather in Fort Erie today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Fort Erie today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Fort Erie today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Fort Erie and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Fort Erie?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Fort Erie (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Fort Erie?
July is typically the warmest month in Fort Erie, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Fort Erie get?
The coldest month in Fort Erie is January, when overnight lows average about -3°C.
How much rain does Fort Erie get?
Fort Erie sees roughly 1166 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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