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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CANiagara Falls
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Niagara Falls weather

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Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Niagara Falls's high today between 22° and 24°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks clear around 23°, with a 4% chance of rain.

23°15°
23°13°
25°14°
24°19°
24°17°
21°13°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±5°
Env. CanadaGEM model
24°
Partly cloudy
Today 24°·Low 16°·Rain 5%
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Light drizzle
Today 22°·Low 16°·Rain 43%
AmericanNOAA GFS
22°
Mostly clear
Today 22°·Low 15°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Niagara Falls and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
23° 15°
±3°
Tomorrow
Clear
23° 13°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
25° 14°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
24° 19°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
24° 17°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
21° 13°
±5°
Sat
Showers
25° 15°
±6°
Sun
Light drizzle
25° 17°
±11°
Mon
Cloudy
21° 13°
±11°
Tue
Clear
21° 16°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
19° 13°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
20° 13°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 13°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
22° 14°
models agree

Niagara Falls, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -4°C), with roughly 1097 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Niagara Falls right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Niagara Falls climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-3°
Feb
-4°
Mar
-1°
Apr
15°
May
21°
10°
Jun
25°
15°
Jul
27°
18°
Aug
25°
17°
Sep
23°
15°
Oct
16°
Nov
Dec
-1°

Which forecast is most accurate in Niagara Falls?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C98±1.1 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
81
/100rank #2
79±1.2°C97±1.6 km/t7184% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
76
/100rank #3
88±0.7°C96±2.1 km/t4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°22° to 24°±43%0% to 43% chance
Tomorrow±1°23° to 23°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tue±1°24° to 25°±1%0% to 1% chance
Wed±4°22° to 26°±23%44% to 67% chance
Thu±1°23° to 25°±37%22% to 59% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Niagara Falls

today, local time
Sunrise
06:46
Sunset
19:42
Daylight
12h 56m

Common questions

What's the weather in Niagara Falls today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Niagara Falls today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Niagara Falls today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Niagara Falls and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Niagara Falls?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Niagara Falls (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Niagara Falls?
July is typically the warmest month in Niagara Falls, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Niagara Falls get?
The coldest month in Niagara Falls is February, when overnight lows average about -4°C.
How much rain does Niagara Falls get?
Niagara Falls sees roughly 1097 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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