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CheckWeather CA›Central York
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°C

Central York weather

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Clear,warmer tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 11° in Central York today. Tomorrow: clear, around 15°, with a 0% chance of rain.

11°-2°
15°0°
12°4°
6°-1°
6°-4°
12°-3°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
11°
Clear
Today 11°·Low -4°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
11°
Clear
Today 11°·Low -2°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
11°
Clear
Today 11°·Low -1°·Rain 0%
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Central York weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Central York swings 39°C across the year, from 24°C highs in July to -15°C lows in February, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1246 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
24°C average high
Coldest month
February
-15°C average low
Wettest month
November
1246 mm a year
Below freezing
6 months
January, February, March, April, November and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
6,930
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Central York and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Central York hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Central York 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
11° -2°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
15° 0°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
12° 4°
±4°
Tue
Clear
6° -1°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
6° -4°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
12° -3°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
12° 4°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
9° 0°
±5°
Sun
Mostly clear
10° -3°
±8°
Mon
Cloudy
14° 3°
±7°
Tue
Rain
14° 7°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
11° 3°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
7° -1°
±6°
Fri
Light drizzle
6° -2°
±5°

Central York, New Brunswick is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -15°C), with roughly 1246 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Central York right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Central York climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-4°
-13°
Feb
-3°
-15°
Mar
0°
-8°
Apr
10°
-1°
May
17°
5°
Jun
20°
11°
Jul
24°
15°
Aug
23°
15°
Sep
19°
10°
Oct
13°
5°
Nov
6°
-2°
Dec
-1°
-9°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Central York has changed since 1995

Central York sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Fredericton. That square ran 0.8°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Fredericton page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Central York?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C99±0.6 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
86
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C96±1.8 km/h7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
83
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C93±3.5 km/h7184% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree11° to 11°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°15° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±4°11° to 15°±42%5% to 47% chance
Tue±1°5° to 6°±1%0% to 1% chance
Wed±2°5° to 7°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Central York

today, local time
Sunrise
07:57
Sunset
18:25
Daylight
10h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Central York today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 11° in Central York today. Tomorrow: clear, around 15°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Central York today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Central York on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Central York?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Central York (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Central York?
July is typically the warmest month in Central York, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Central York get?
The coldest month in Central York is February, when overnight lows average about -15°C.
How much rain does Central York get?
Central York sees roughly 1246 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather