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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CADowntown Fredericton

Downtown Fredericton weather

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Env. CanadaGEM model
13°
Overcast
Feels 11° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 75%
EuropeanECMWF
13°
Light drizzle
Feels 11° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 79%
AmericanNOAA GFS
13°
Overcast
Feels 13° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 88%

Latest for Downtown Fredericton: Env. Canada (GEM model): 13° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 13° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 13° Overcast.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Downtown Fredericton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Downtown Fredericton, New Brunswick is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -12°C), with roughly 1256 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Downtown Fredericton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Downtown Fredericton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-1°
-9°
Feb
-1°
-12°
Mar
-5°
Apr
11°
May
18°
Jun
22°
12°
Jul
26°
18°
Aug
23°
15°
Sep
22°
12°
Oct
15°
Nov
-1°
Dec
-6°

Which forecast is most accurate in Downtown Fredericton?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C98±1.2 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
85
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C95±2.3 km/t7687% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
76
/100rank #3
75±1.4°C95±2.3 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Common questions

What's the weather in Downtown Fredericton today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Downtown Fredericton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Downtown Fredericton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Downtown Fredericton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Downtown Fredericton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Downtown Fredericton (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Downtown Fredericton?
July is typically the warmest month in Downtown Fredericton, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Downtown Fredericton get?
The coldest month in Downtown Fredericton is February, when overnight lows average about -12°C.
How much rain does Downtown Fredericton get?
Downtown Fredericton sees roughly 1256 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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