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CheckWeather CAFredericton
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Fredericton weather

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Light drizzle,warmer tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 14° in Fredericton today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 22°, with a 8% chance of rain.

14°10°
22°
19°10°
19°
25°13°
19°11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±5°
Env. CanadaGEM model
15°
Light drizzle
Today 15°·Low ·Rain 24%
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Light drizzle
Today 14°·Low 11°·Rain 31%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Light drizzle
Today 14°·Low ·Rain 24%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Fredericton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
14° 10°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
22°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
19° 10°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
19°
±5°
Thu
Showers
25° 13°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
19° 11°
±5°
Sat
Cloudy
22°
±5°
Sun
Drizzle
23° 13°
±9°
Mon
Cloudy
19° 11°
±9°
Tue
Light rain
14° 10°
±6°
Wed
Cloudy
20° 12°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
21°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
19°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
17°
models agree

Fredericton, New Brunswick is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -12°C), with roughly 1256 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Fredericton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Fredericton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-1°
-9°
Feb
-1°
-12°
Mar
-5°
Apr
11°
May
18°
Jun
22°
12°
Jul
26°
18°
Aug
23°
15°
Sep
22°
12°
Oct
15°
Nov
-1°
Dec
-6°

Which forecast is most accurate in Fredericton?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C98±1.1 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C96±2.2 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
77
/100rank #3
75±1.4°C96±2.2 km/t6581% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°14° to 15°±7%24% to 31% chance
Tomorrow±1°22° to 23°±3%5% to 8% chance
Tue±1°18° to 19°±25%5% to 30% chance
Wed±5°16° to 21°±54%10% to 64% chance
Thu±3°23° to 26°±6%76% to 82% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Fredericton

today, local time
Sunrise
06:54
Sunset
19:55
Daylight
13h 1m

Common questions

What's the weather in Fredericton today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Fredericton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Fredericton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Fredericton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Fredericton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Fredericton (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Fredericton?
July is typically the warmest month in Fredericton, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Fredericton get?
The coldest month in Fredericton is February, when overnight lows average about -12°C.
How much rain does Fredericton get?
Fredericton sees roughly 1256 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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