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CheckWeather CASunbury-York South
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Sunbury-York South weather

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Light drizzle,warmer tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 14° in Sunbury-York South today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 22°, with a 16% chance of rain.

14°10°
22°
19°11°
19°
25°13°
20°11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±6°
Env. CanadaGEM model
16°
Light drizzle
Today 16°·Low 10°·Rain 24%
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Light drizzle
Today 14°·Low 11°·Rain 63%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Heavy drizzle
Today 14°·Low 10°·Rain 31%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Sunbury-York South and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
14° 10°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
22°
±3°
Tue
Drizzle
19° 11°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
19°
±5°
Thu
Rain
25° 13°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
20° 11°
±6°
Sat
Cloudy
22° 10°
±5°
Sun
Drizzle
24° 13°
±9°
Mon
Cloudy
19° 12°
±9°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
14° 11°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
21° 12°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
22°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
19°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
18°
models agree

Sunbury-York South, New Brunswick is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -12°C), with roughly 1243 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Sunbury-York South right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Sunbury-York South climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-1°
-9°
Feb
-1°
-12°
Mar
-5°
Apr
11°
May
18°
Jun
22°
12°
Jul
26°
17°
Aug
24°
15°
Sep
22°
12°
Oct
15°
Nov
-1°
Dec
-6°

Which forecast is most accurate in Sunbury-York South?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C97±1.4 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
82
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C92±4.1 km/t7184% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
81
/100rank #3
81±1.1°C95±2.6 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°14° to 16°±39%24% to 63% chance
Tomorrow±3°20° to 23°±11%5% to 16% chance
Tue±1°19° to 20°±52%5% to 57% chance
Wed±5°17° to 21°±53%10% to 63% chance
Thu±3°24° to 27°±2%76% to 78% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Sunbury-York South

today, local time
Sunrise
06:53
Sunset
19:55
Daylight
13h 2m

Common questions

What's the weather in Sunbury-York South today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Sunbury-York South today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Sunbury-York South today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Sunbury-York South and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Sunbury-York South?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Sunbury-York South (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Sunbury-York South?
July is typically the warmest month in Sunbury-York South, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Sunbury-York South get?
The coldest month in Sunbury-York South is February, when overnight lows average about -12°C.
How much rain does Sunbury-York South get?
Sunbury-York South sees roughly 1243 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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