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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Amos weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 14° in Amos today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 13°, with a 64% chance of rain.

14°0°
13°6°
9°-2°
3°-6°
6°-5°
11°4°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±4°
Env. CanadaGEM model
2°
Clear
Feels -2° · Wind 9 km/h · Humidity 88%
EuropeanECMWF
5°
Clear
Feels 1° · Wind 12 km/h · Humidity 81%
AmericanNOAA GFS
2°
Clear
Feels -1° · Wind 9 km/h · Humidity 83%

Latest for Amos: Env. Canada (GEM model): 2° Clear · European (ECMWF): 5° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 2° Clear.

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Amos weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Amos swings 43°C across the year, from 23°C highs in July to -20°C lows in January, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 962 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 30 days a year at 25°C or above, 2 of them at 30°C or above, 187 frost nights, and rain on 155 days.

Warmest month
July
23°C average high
Coldest month
January
-20°C average low
Wettest month
September
962 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
18,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
98/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
30 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
187 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
155 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Amos’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Amos and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Amos hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Amos 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
14° 0°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
13° 6°
±4°
Mon
Mostly clear
9° -2°
±3°
Tue
Mostly clear
3° -6°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
6° -5°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
11° 4°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
8° 2°
±2°
Sat
Light drizzle
10° 2°
±5°
Sun
Light drizzle
13° 6°
±5°
Mon
Drizzle
12° 6°
±3°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
8° 1°
±8°
Wed
Drizzle
3° -2°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
4° -3°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
2° -3°
models agree

Amos, Quebec is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -20°C), with roughly 962 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Amos right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Amos climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-11°
-20°
Feb
-8°
-19°
Mar
-3°
-13°
Apr
5°
-5°
May
16°
3°
Jun
22°
10°
Jul
23°
13°
Aug
22°
12°
Sep
17°
7°
Oct
9°
2°
Nov
0°
-6°
Dec
-7°
-15°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Amos' weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.7°C

Around Amos, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.7°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

1995: −0.9°C vs the 30-year average1996: −1.2°C vs the 30-year average1997: −1.4°C vs the 30-year average1998: +1.3°C vs the 30-year average1999: +0.7°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average2001: +0.9°C vs the 30-year average2002: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average2003: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average2004: −1.4°C vs the 30-year average2005: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2006: +1.2°C vs the 30-year average2007: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2009: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average2010: +1.2°C vs the 30-year average2011: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2012: +1.8°C vs the 30-year average2013: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2014: −1.4°C vs the 30-year average2015: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2016: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2017: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2018: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average2019: −1.5°C vs the 30-year average2020: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2021: +1.7°C vs the 30-year average2022: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2023: +1.0°C vs the 30-year average2024: +2.3°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 25°C

7 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +6 vs the 30-year average1996: −5 vs the 30-year average1997: −5 vs the 30-year average1998: −3 vs the 30-year average1999: +7 vs the 30-year average2000: −19 vs the 30-year average2001: +0 vs the 30-year average2002: −2 vs the 30-year average2003: −3 vs the 30-year average2004: −13 vs the 30-year average2005: +19 vs the 30-year average2006: +1 vs the 30-year average2007: +3 vs the 30-year average2008: −15 vs the 30-year average2009: −9 vs the 30-year average2010: +3 vs the 30-year average2011: −5 vs the 30-year average2012: +18 vs the 30-year average2013: −2 vs the 30-year average2014: −9 vs the 30-year average2015: −4 vs the 30-year average2016: +0 vs the 30-year average2017: −13 vs the 30-year average2018: +19 vs the 30-year average2019: −11 vs the 30-year average2020: +11 vs the 30-year average2021: +9 vs the 30-year average2022: −6 vs the 30-year average2023: +4 vs the 30-year average2024: +21 vs the 30-year average

Frost nights

4 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −0 vs the 30-year average1996: +15 vs the 30-year average1997: +8 vs the 30-year average1998: −14 vs the 30-year average1999: +6 vs the 30-year average2000: +4 vs the 30-year average2001: −5 vs the 30-year average2002: +24 vs the 30-year average2003: +5 vs the 30-year average2004: +1 vs the 30-year average2005: −8 vs the 30-year average2006: −5 vs the 30-year average2007: −6 vs the 30-year average2008: −4 vs the 30-year average2009: +11 vs the 30-year average2010: −4 vs the 30-year average2011: +2 vs the 30-year average2012: −9 vs the 30-year average2013: +1 vs the 30-year average2014: −3 vs the 30-year average2015: −1 vs the 30-year average2016: +4 vs the 30-year average2017: −3 vs the 30-year average2018: +22 vs the 30-year average2019: +5 vs the 30-year average2020: +19 vs the 30-year average2021: −19 vs the 30-year average2022: −6 vs the 30-year average2023: −7 vs the 30-year average2024: −18 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−1%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −0% vs the 30-year average1996: −0% vs the 30-year average1997: −0% vs the 30-year average1998: −0% vs the 30-year average1999: +3% vs the 30-year average2000: −0% vs the 30-year average2001: +3% vs the 30-year average2002: −0% vs the 30-year average2003: −4% vs the 30-year average2004: +3% vs the 30-year average2005: −0% vs the 30-year average2006: −0% vs the 30-year average2007: +3% vs the 30-year average2008: −0% vs the 30-year average2009: −4% vs the 30-year average2010: −0% vs the 30-year average2011: −0% vs the 30-year average2012: +3% vs the 30-year average2013: −0% vs the 30-year average2014: −0% vs the 30-year average2015: +3% vs the 30-year average2016: −0% vs the 30-year average2017: −0% vs the 30-year average2018: −0% vs the 30-year average2019: −0% vs the 30-year average2020: −0% vs the 30-year average2021: −0% vs the 30-year average2022: −0% vs the 30-year average2023: −7% vs the 30-year average2024: −0% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >25°C vs avgFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.9°C+6−0−0%
1996−1.2°C−5+15−0%
1997−1.4°C−5+8−0%
1998+1.3°C−3−14−0%
1999+0.7°C+7+6+3%
2000−0.8°C−19+4−0%
2001+0.9°C+0−5+3%
2002−0.7°C−2+24−0%
2003−0.8°C−3+5−4%
2004−1.4°C−13+1+3%
2005+0.6°C+19−8−0%
2006+1.2°C+1−5−0%
2007−0.1°C+3−6+3%
2008−0.5°C−15−4−0%
2009−0.8°C−9+11−4%
2010+1.2°C+3−4−0%
2011+0.2°C−5+2−0%
2012+1.8°C+18−9+3%
2013−0.4°C−2+1−0%
2014−1.4°C−9−3−0%
2015−0.4°C−4−1+3%
2016+0.3°C+0+4−0%
2017−0.2°C−13−3−0%
2018−0.7°C+19+22−0%
2019−1.5°C−11+5−0%
2020+0.3°C+11+19−0%
2021+1.7°C+9−19−0%
2022±0.0°C−6−6−0%
2023+1.0°C+4−7−7%
2024+2.3°C+21−18−0%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Amos, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Amos?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C99±0.6 km/h100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
94
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C95±2.4 km/h100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
92
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C95±2.5 km/h100100% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°14° to 15°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±4°11° to 15°±45%19% to 64% chance
Mon±3°8° to 11°±3%2% to 5% chance
Tue±2°2° to 4°±3%0% to 3% chance
Wed±4°4° to 7°±31%12% to 43% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Amos

today, local time
Sunrise
07:46
Sunset
18:06
Daylight
10h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Amos today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 14° in Amos today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 13°, with a 64% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Amos today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Amos on Sunday, October 25: Env. Canada 19%, European 64%, American 39%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Amos?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Amos (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the American at 94. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Amos?
July is typically the warmest month in Amos, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Amos get?
The coldest month in Amos is January, when overnight lows average about -20°C.
How much rain does Amos get?
Amos sees roughly 962 mm of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.
Is Amos getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Amos, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.7°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

Nearby

More CA weather