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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Timmins weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 17° in Timmins today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 15°, with a 90% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

17°4°
15°7°
7°-3°
3°-6°
10°-1°
12°6°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±5°Mondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
4°
Clear
Feels 1° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 95%
EuropeanECMWF
4°
Clear
Feels 1° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 97%
AmericanNOAA GFS
4°
Clear
Feels 1° · Wind 13 km/h · Humidity 91%

Latest for Timmins: Env. Canada (GEM model): 4° Clear · European (ECMWF): 4° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 4° Clear.

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Timmins weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Timmins swings 44°C across the year, from 24°C highs in July to -20°C lows in January, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 829 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 39 days a year at 25°C or above, 6 of them at 30°C or above, 187 frost nights, and rain on 140 days.

Warmest month
July
24°C average high
Coldest month
January
-20°C average low
Wettest month
September
829 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
42,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
96/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
39 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
187 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
140 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Timmins’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Timmins and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Timmins hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Timmins 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
17° 4°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
15° 7°
±5°
Mon
Mostly clear
7° -3°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
3° -6°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
10° -1°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
12° 6°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
9° 2°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
11° 3°
±3°
Sun
Heavy drizzle
13° 9°
±3°
Mon
Drizzle
14° 4°
±5°
Tue
Cloudy
6° -1°
±5°
Wed
Drizzle
4° -1°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
3° -1°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
4° -1°
±4°

Timmins, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -20°C), with roughly 829 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Timmins right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Timmins climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-11°
-20°
Feb
-7°
-18°
Mar
-2°
-12°
Apr
6°
-5°
May
17°
4°
Jun
22°
10°
Jul
24°
14°
Aug
23°
12°
Sep
18°
7°
Oct
9°
2°
Nov
0°
-6°
Dec
-7°
-14°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Timmins' weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+1.2°C

Around Timmins, 2015-2024 averaged 1.2°C warmer than 1995-2004. 4 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2024.

1995: −1.1°C vs the 30-year average1996: −1.8°C vs the 30-year average1997: −1.6°C vs the 30-year average1998: +1.0°C vs the 30-year average1999: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average2001: +0.9°C vs the 30-year average2002: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2003: −1.0°C vs the 30-year average2004: −1.4°C vs the 30-year average2005: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2006: +1.3°C vs the 30-year average2007: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average2009: −0.9°C vs the 30-year average2010: +1.4°C vs the 30-year average2011: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2012: +1.4°C vs the 30-year average2013: −1.0°C vs the 30-year average2014: −1.8°C vs the 30-year average2015: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2016: +0.8°C vs the 30-year average2017: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2018: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2019: −1.1°C vs the 30-year average2020: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2021: +2.2°C vs the 30-year average2022: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2023: +1.0°C vs the 30-year average2024: +2.5°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 25°C

13 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +8 vs the 30-year average1996: −8 vs the 30-year average1997: −6 vs the 30-year average1998: −8 vs the 30-year average1999: +8 vs the 30-year average2000: −22 vs the 30-year average2001: −6 vs the 30-year average2002: −1 vs the 30-year average2003: −7 vs the 30-year average2004: −18 vs the 30-year average2005: +13 vs the 30-year average2006: −2 vs the 30-year average2007: +4 vs the 30-year average2008: −23 vs the 30-year average2009: −14 vs the 30-year average2010: +18 vs the 30-year average2011: +0 vs the 30-year average2012: +2 vs the 30-year average2013: −5 vs the 30-year average2014: −16 vs the 30-year average2015: +3 vs the 30-year average2016: +9 vs the 30-year average2017: −15 vs the 30-year average2018: +22 vs the 30-year average2019: +4 vs the 30-year average2020: +21 vs the 30-year average2021: +15 vs the 30-year average2022: +4 vs the 30-year average2023: −2 vs the 30-year average2024: +11 vs the 30-year average

Frost nights

6 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +1 vs the 30-year average1996: +13 vs the 30-year average1997: +15 vs the 30-year average1998: −4 vs the 30-year average1999: +7 vs the 30-year average2000: −0 vs the 30-year average2001: −11 vs the 30-year average2002: +21 vs the 30-year average2003: +8 vs the 30-year average2004: −5 vs the 30-year average2005: −3 vs the 30-year average2006: −3 vs the 30-year average2007: −10 vs the 30-year average2008: −4 vs the 30-year average2009: +3 vs the 30-year average2010: −5 vs the 30-year average2011: −2 vs the 30-year average2012: −10 vs the 30-year average2013: −0 vs the 30-year average2014: +3 vs the 30-year average2015: −3 vs the 30-year average2016: +1 vs the 30-year average2017: +2 vs the 30-year average2018: +16 vs the 30-year average2019: +9 vs the 30-year average2020: +17 vs the 30-year average2021: −16 vs the 30-year average2022: −9 vs the 30-year average2023: −10 vs the 30-year average2024: −18 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

+3%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −1% vs the 30-year average1996: −5% vs the 30-year average1997: −5% vs the 30-year average1998: −5% vs the 30-year average1999: −1% vs the 30-year average2000: −1% vs the 30-year average2001: +3% vs the 30-year average2002: −1% vs the 30-year average2003: −5% vs the 30-year average2004: +3% vs the 30-year average2005: −1% vs the 30-year average2006: −1% vs the 30-year average2007: +3% vs the 30-year average2008: −1% vs the 30-year average2009: −5% vs the 30-year average2010: −1% vs the 30-year average2011: −1% vs the 30-year average2012: +3% vs the 30-year average2013: +3% vs the 30-year average2014: −1% vs the 30-year average2015: +3% vs the 30-year average2016: +3% vs the 30-year average2017: −1% vs the 30-year average2018: −1% vs the 30-year average2019: +3% vs the 30-year average2020: +3% vs the 30-year average2021: +3% vs the 30-year average2022: +3% vs the 30-year average2023: −5% vs the 30-year average2024: +3% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >25°C vs avgFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−1.1°C+8+1−1%
1996−1.8°C−8+13−5%
1997−1.6°C−6+15−5%
1998+1.0°C−8−4−5%
1999+0.5°C+8+7−1%
2000−0.8°C−22−0−1%
2001+0.9°C−6−11+3%
2002−0.6°C−1+21−1%
2003−1.0°C−7+8−5%
2004−1.4°C−18−5+3%
2005+0.6°C+13−3−1%
2006+1.3°C−2−3−1%
2007+0.1°C+4−10+3%
2008−0.8°C−23−4−1%
2009−0.9°C−14+3−5%
2010+1.4°C+18−5−1%
2011+0.3°C+0−2−1%
2012+1.4°C+2−10+3%
2013−1.0°C−5−0+3%
2014−1.8°C−16+3−1%
2015−0.1°C+3−3+3%
2016+0.8°C+9+1+3%
2017+0.1°C−15+2−1%
2018−0.4°C+22+16−1%
2019−1.1°C+4+9+3%
2020+0.6°C+21+17+3%
2021+2.2°C+15−16+3%
2022±0.0°C+4−9+3%
2023+1.0°C−2−10−5%
2024+2.5°C+11−18+3%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Timmins, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Timmins?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C98±1.0 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
90
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C96±2.2 km/h8994% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
84
/100rank #3
88±0.7°C96±1.9 km/h7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°17° to 19°±3%0% to 3% chance
Tomorrow±5°12° to 17°±76%14% to 90% chance
Mon±3°6° to 9°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tue±2°3° to 5°±3%0% to 3% chance
Wed±5°8° to 13°±27%24% to 51% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Timmins

today, local time
Sunrise
07:59
Sunset
18:19
Daylight
10h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Timmins today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 17° in Timmins today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 15°, with a 90% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Timmins today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Timmins on Sunday, October 25: Env. Canada 14%, European 90%, American 44%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 3%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Timmins?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Timmins (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 90. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Timmins?
July is typically the warmest month in Timmins, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Timmins get?
The coldest month in Timmins is January, when overnight lows average about -20°C.
How much rain does Timmins get?
Timmins sees roughly 829 mm of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.
Is Timmins getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Timmins, 2015-2024 averaged 1.2°C warmer than 1995-2004.

Nearby

More CA weather