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The Colony weather

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The Colony weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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The Colony weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

The Colony swings 57°F across the year, from 93°F highs in July to 36°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 39 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 190 days a year at 77°F or above, 118 of them at 86°F or above, 19 frost nights, and rain on 109 days.

Warmest month
July
93°F average high
Coldest month
January
36°F average low
Wettest month
May
39 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, October and November
Residents
42,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
90/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
190 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
19 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
109 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for The Colony’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around The Colony and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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The Colony hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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The Colony 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

The Colony, Texas (TX) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 93°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 36°F), with roughly 39 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for The Colony right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

The Colony climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
54°
36°
Feb
59°
40°
Mar
66°
48°
Apr
73°
56°
May
81°
65°
Jun
89°
72°
Jul
93°
75°
Aug
93°
73°
Sep
86°
68°
Oct
77°
58°
Nov
64°
47°
Dec
55°
39°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around The Colony has changed since 1995

The Colony sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Dallas. That square ran 1.4°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Dallas page.

Which forecast is most accurate in The Colony?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F97±0.9 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
74
/100rank #2
71±2.9°F90±3.3 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in The Colony today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for The Colony today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in The Colony today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for The Colony and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for The Colony?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for The Colony (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 74. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in The Colony?
July is typically the warmest month in The Colony, with average highs around 93°F.
How cold does The Colony get?
The coldest month in The Colony is January, when overnight lows average about 36°F.
How much rain does The Colony get?
The Colony sees roughly 39 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

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