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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

The Trails of Frisco weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 83° in The Trails of Frisco today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 81°, with a 1% chance of rain.

83°58°
81°61°
79°59°
79°62°
83°62°
82°66°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
84°
Partly cloudy
Today 84°·Low 58°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
83°
Cloudy
Today 83°·Low 56°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
83°
Cloudy
Today 83°·Low 60°·Rain 0%
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The Trails of Frisco weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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The Trails of Frisco weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

The Trails of Frisco swings 57°F across the year, from 93°F highs in July to 36°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 40 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 189 days a year at 77°F or above, 118 of them at 86°F or above, 20 frost nights, and rain on 105 days.

Warmest month
July
93°F average high
Coldest month
January
36°F average low
Wettest month
May
40 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, October and November
Residents
51,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
94/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
189 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
20 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
105 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for The Trails of Frisco’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around The Trails of Frisco and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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The Trails of Frisco hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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The Trails of Frisco 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
83° 58°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
81° 61°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
79° 59°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
79° 62°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
83° 62°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
82° 66°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
78° 66°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
81° 66°
±5°
Sun
Light rain
82° 66°
±10°
Mon
Drizzle
78° 60°
±10°
Tue
Clear
72° 55°
±7°
Wed
Cloudy
75° 55°
±7°
Thu
Cloudy
71° 56°
±10°

The Trails of Frisco, Texas (TX) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 93°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 36°F), with roughly 40 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for The Trails of Frisco right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

The Trails of Frisco climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
54°
36°
Feb
59°
40°
Mar
66°
48°
Apr
73°
56°
May
81°
65°
Jun
89°
72°
Jul
93°
75°
Aug
93°
73°
Sep
86°
68°
Oct
77°
58°
Nov
64°
47°
Dec
55°
39°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around The Trails of Frisco has changed since 1995

The Trails of Frisco sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Dallas. That square ran 1.4°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Dallas page.

Which forecast is most accurate in The Trails of Frisco?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F97±0.8 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
72
/100rank #2
76±2.4°F87±4.2 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°83° to 84°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°80° to 83°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±1°79° to 80°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±1°79° to 80°±12%4% to 16% chance
Wed±1°82° to 83°±6%4% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in The Trails of Frisco

today, local time
Sunrise
07:39
Sunset
18:43
Daylight
11h 4m

Common questions

What's the weather in The Trails of Frisco today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 83° in The Trails of Frisco today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 81°, with a 1% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in The Trails of Frisco today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in The Trails of Frisco on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 1% (NWS 1%, American 1%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for The Trails of Frisco?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for The Trails of Frisco (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 72. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in The Trails of Frisco?
July is typically the warmest month in The Trails of Frisco, with average highs around 93°F.
How cold does The Trails of Frisco get?
The coldest month in The Trails of Frisco is January, when overnight lows average about 36°F.
How much rain does The Trails of Frisco get?
The Trails of Frisco sees roughly 40 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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