Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow
NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 100° in Dallas today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 99°, with a 18% chance of rain.
Dallas, TX. Below we compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Dallas right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Dallas's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.
Here is Dallas's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °F, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Dallas by season.
Dallas runs from warm summers, with August highs near 101°F, to cold winters, when January lows sit around 38°F (a swing of about 63°F across the year). May is usually the wettest month, and Dallas sees roughly 54 inches of precipitation annually.
The most comfortable time to visit Dallas is usually February, March, April and November, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest May rain is behind you.
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Dallas, scoring 95/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 84. See the full US accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.