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CheckWeather US›Texas›Grand Prairie
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Grand Prairie weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 84° in Grand Prairie today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 82°, with a 1% chance of rain.

84°58°
82°61°
79°62°
80°64°
83°64°
83°66°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
60°
Clear
Feels 60° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 75%
AmericanNOAA GFS
56°
Clear
Feels 53° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 72%
EuropeanECMWF
63°
Clear
Feels 63° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 65%

Latest for Grand Prairie: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 60° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 56° Clear · European (ECMWF): 63° Clear.

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Grand Prairie weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Grand Prairie…

Grand Prairie weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Grand Prairie swings 57°F across the year, from 94°F highs in July to 37°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 38 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 198 days a year at 77°F or above, 125 of them at 86°F or above, 16 frost nights, and rain on 107 days.

Warmest month
July
94°F average high
Coldest month
January
37°F average low
Wettest month
May
38 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and October
Residents
188,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
97/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
198 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
16 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
107 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Grand Prairie’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Grand Prairie and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Grand Prairie hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Grand Prairie 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
84° 58°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
82° 61°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
79° 62°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
80° 64°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
83° 64°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
83° 66°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
80° 67°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
82° 67°
±5°
Sun
Heavy drizzle
83° 68°
±9°
Mon
Light rain
79° 64°
±9°
Tue
Clear
75° 59°
±6°
Wed
Cloudy
76° 58°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
72° 58°
±8°

Grand Prairie, Texas (TX) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 94°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 37°F), with roughly 38 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Grand Prairie right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Grand Prairie climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
55°
37°
Feb
60°
41°
Mar
67°
49°
Apr
74°
57°
May
82°
66°
Jun
90°
72°
Jul
94°
76°
Aug
94°
75°
Sep
87°
68°
Oct
78°
58°
Nov
65°
48°
Dec
57°
40°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Grand Prairie has changed since 1995

Grand Prairie sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Arlington. That square ran 1.3°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Arlington page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Grand Prairie?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
97±0.3°F98±0.7 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
83
/100rank #2
77±2.3°F93±2.3 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°83° to 85°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°81° to 83°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±1°79° to 80°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±2°79° to 81°±14%4% to 18% chance
Wed±1°83° to 84°±3%5% to 8% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Grand Prairie

today, local time
Sunrise
07:39
Sunset
18:44
Daylight
11h 5m

Common questions

What's the weather in Grand Prairie today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 84° in Grand Prairie today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 82°, with a 1% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Grand Prairie today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Grand Prairie on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 1% (NWS 1%, American 1%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Grand Prairie?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Grand Prairie (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the American at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Grand Prairie?
July is typically the warmest month in Grand Prairie, with average highs around 94°F.
How cold does Grand Prairie get?
The coldest month in Grand Prairie is January, when overnight lows average about 37°F.
How much rain does Grand Prairie get?
Grand Prairie sees roughly 38 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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