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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Cedar Hill weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 82° in Cedar Hill today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 80°, with a 1% chance of rain.

82°59°
80°61°
78°59°
79°62°
82°62°
82°64°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
83°
Partly cloudy
Today 83°·Low 57°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
81°
Cloudy
Today 81°·Low 60°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
83°
Cloudy
Today 83°·Low 59°·Rain 0%
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Cedar Hill weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Cedar Hill weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Cedar Hill swings 56°F across the year, from 93°F highs in August to 37°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 40 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 193 days a year at 77°F or above, 116 of them at 86°F or above, 16 frost nights, and rain on 111 days.

Warmest month
August
93°F average high
Coldest month
January
37°F average low
Wettest month
May
40 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and October
Residents
49,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
95/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
193 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
16 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
111 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Cedar Hill’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Cedar Hill and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Cedar Hill hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Cedar Hill 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
82° 59°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
80° 61°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
78° 59°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
79° 62°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
82° 62°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
82° 64°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
79° 64°
±5°
Sat
Drizzle
80° 65°
±6°
Sun
Heavy drizzle
82° 67°
±10°
Mon
Light rain
78° 62°
±8°
Tue
Clear
73° 58°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
75° 56°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
71° 57°
±8°

Cedar Hill, Texas (TX) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 93°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 37°F), with roughly 40 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Cedar Hill right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Cedar Hill climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
55°
37°
Feb
60°
41°
Mar
67°
48°
Apr
73°
56°
May
81°
65°
Jun
88°
71°
Jul
92°
75°
Aug
93°
74°
Sep
86°
68°
Oct
77°
58°
Nov
65°
48°
Dec
56°
40°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Cedar Hill has changed since 1995

Cedar Hill sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Arlington. That square ran 1.3°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Arlington page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Cedar Hill?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F97±1.0 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
83
/100rank #2
86±1.4°F94±1.9 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°81° to 83°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°80° to 80°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±1°78° to 79°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±3°78° to 80°±14%5% to 19% chance
Wed±1°81° to 82°±5%7% to 12% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Cedar Hill

today, local time
Sunrise
07:38
Sunset
18:44
Daylight
11h 6m

Common questions

What's the weather in Cedar Hill today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 82° in Cedar Hill today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 80°, with a 1% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Cedar Hill today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Cedar Hill on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 1% (NWS 1%, American 1%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Cedar Hill?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Cedar Hill (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Cedar Hill?
August is typically the warmest month in Cedar Hill, with average highs around 93°F.
How cold does Cedar Hill get?
The coldest month in Cedar Hill is January, when overnight lows average about 37°F.
How much rain does Cedar Hill get?
Cedar Hill sees roughly 40 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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