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CheckWeather USDeSoto
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

DeSoto weather

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Drizzle,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 98° in DeSoto today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 98°, with a 16% chance of rain.

98°77°
98°78°
99°78°
101°82°
100°81°
100°81°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
97°
Drizzle
Today 97°·Low 77°·Rain 3%
AmericanNOAA GFS
97°
Cloudy
Today 97°·Low 77°·Rain 3%
EuropeanECMWF
99°
Light drizzle
Today 99°·Low 76°·Rain 41%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around DeSoto and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
98° 77°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
98° 78°
models agree
Mon
Clear
99° 78°
models agree
Tue
Clear
101° 82°
models agree
Wed
Clear
100° 81°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
100° 81°
±5°
Fri
Mostly clear
101° 81°
±6°
Sat
Mostly clear
100° 81°
±6°
Sun
Showers
98° 79°
±6°
Mon
Showers
95° 76°
±11°
Tue
Mostly clear
88° 74°
±11°
Wed
Cloudy
89° 72°
±11°
Thu
Clear
91° 70°
±8°
Fri
Clear
95° 72°
±5°

DeSoto is a town of about 52,000 people in TX, sitting at 32.6°N in a subtropical climate zone. NWS, American, European each forecast DeSoto with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Glenn Heights, Duncanville, Cedar Hill.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in DeSoto?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F97±1.0 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
90
/100rank #2
88±1.2°F96±1.3 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°97° to 99°±38%3% to 41% chance
Tomorrow±2°97° to 99°±14%2% to 16% chance
Mon±2°98° to 101°±17%1% to 18% chance
Tue±4°99° to 102°±18%2% to 20% chance
Wed±3°98° to 101°±8%2% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in DeSoto

today, local time
Sunrise
07:05
Sunset
19:47
Daylight
12h 42m

Common questions

What's the weather in DeSoto today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for DeSoto today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in DeSoto today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for DeSoto and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for DeSoto?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for DeSoto (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 90. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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