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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

DeSoto weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 83° in DeSoto today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 80°, with a 1% chance of rain.

83°57°
80°59°
79°59°
80°62°
82°62°
82°64°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
64°
Clear
Feels 64° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 72%
AmericanNOAA GFS
59°
Clear
Feels 59° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 69%
EuropeanECMWF
64°
Clear
Feels 63° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 59%

Latest for DeSoto: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 64° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 59° Clear · European (ECMWF): 64° Clear.

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DeSoto weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around DeSoto and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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DeSoto hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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DeSoto 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
83° 57°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
80° 59°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
79° 59°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
80° 62°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
82° 62°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
82° 64°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
80° 64°
±5°
Sat
Drizzle
81° 65°
±5°
Sun
Heavy drizzle
83° 67°
±10°
Mon
Light rain
78° 62°
±8°
Tue
Clear
74° 58°
±6°
Wed
Cloudy
75° 56°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
71° 57°
±9°

DeSoto is a town of about 52,000 people in Texas (TX), sitting at 32.6°N in a subtropical climate zone. NWS, American, European each forecast DeSoto with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Glenn Heights, Duncanville, Cedar Hill.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

How the weather around DeSoto has changed since 1995

DeSoto sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Arlington. That square ran 1.3°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Arlington page.

Which forecast is most accurate in DeSoto?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F97±1.0 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
76
/100rank #2
84±1.6°F94±1.8 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°81° to 84°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°80° to 81°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±1°78° to 79°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°78° to 81°±15%5% to 20% chance
Wed±1°82° to 83°±4%7% to 11% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in DeSoto

today, local time
Sunrise
07:38
Sunset
18:44
Daylight
11h 6m

Common questions

What's the weather in DeSoto today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 83° in DeSoto today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 80°, with a 1% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in DeSoto today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in DeSoto on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 1% (NWS 1%, American 1%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for DeSoto?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for DeSoto (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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